NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA LAL
Points 113.8 118.4
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 67.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 33.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.9
Shooting SA LAL
Field Goals Made 43.5 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 94.0 89.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 59.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.5%
Ball Control SA LAL
Rebounds 49.8 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.8
Turnovers 13.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.5
Steals 7.0 7.7
Fouls 15.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA LAL
Total Possessions 105.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 101.6
% of Possessions with SA LAL
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 25.7%
Player Fouled 12.6% 15.2%
Turnover 12.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA LAL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 18.8%