NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA TOR
Points 119.9 113.5
Total Points   233.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.5 65.0
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 33.0
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.5
Shooting SA TOR
Field Goals Made 45.8 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 93.5
Field Goal % 49.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 32.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 61.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 37.3 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 20.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.6%
Ball Control SA TOR
Rebounds 52.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.8
Turnovers 14.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 7.4 4.2
Steals 6.3 8.4
Fouls 14.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA TOR
Total Possessions 105.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 104.3
% of Possessions with SA TOR
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 15.1% 14.0%
Turnover 13.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA TOR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 22.8%