NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO DEN
Points 111.3 112.4
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 35.6
Points From Free Throws 19.3 15.3
Shooting PHO DEN
Field Goals Made 40.6 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.0 90.5
Field Goal % 47.8% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 58.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 19.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 19.7
Free Throw % 80.9% 77.9%
Ball Control PHO DEN
Rebounds 48.4 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.8
Turnovers 11.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 6.1 6.9
Fouls 15.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO DEN
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 101.8
% of Possessions with PHO DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.4%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.0%
Turnover 12.0% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO DEN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 25.8%