NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIN
Points 109.9 108.5
Total Points   218.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 39.5
Points From Free Throws 18.4 19.0
Shooting OKC MIN
Field Goals Made 39.8 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 83.7
Field Goal % 46.6% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 25.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 18.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.7
Free Throw % 81.8% 76.8%
Ball Control OKC MIN
Rebounds 45.4 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.4
Turnovers 11.9 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.8
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 17.9 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIN
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 98.2
% of Possessions with OKC MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 17.8%
Turnover 11.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIN
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.7%