NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHA
Points 115.1 99.7
Total Points   214.8
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 50.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 34.0
Points From Free Throws 17.1 15.3
Shooting MIN CHA
Field Goals Made 42.2 36.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 83.6
Field Goal % 50.8% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 17.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 19.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.9%
Ball Control MIN CHA
Rebounds 50.3 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.3
Turnovers 12.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.8
Steals 6.8 6.4
Fouls 16.5 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHA
Total Possessions 98.4
Effective Scoring Chances 96.4 94.6
% of Possessions with MIN CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 16.8%
Turnover 13.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 19.2%