NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DAL
Points 108.9 107.4
Total Points   216.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 52.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 36.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.1
Shooting MIN DAL
Field Goals Made 39.1 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.0 83.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 24.3
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.4%
Ball Control MIN DAL
Rebounds 48.6 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.7
Turnovers 12.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.6
Steals 6.8 6.2
Fouls 19.1 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DAL
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 97.6
% of Possessions with MIN DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 19.3%
Turnover 12.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 22.2%