NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 108.1 106.3
Total Points   214.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 58.2
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 31.7
Points From Free Throws 18.6 16.3
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 39.3 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 85.4
Field Goal % 46.9% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 18.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 21.0
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.9%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 47.6 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 11.4
Turnovers 11.1 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.8
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 17.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 97.4
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 17.5%
Turnover 11.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.8%