NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR LAC
Points 106.9 118.3
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 34.2
Points From Free Throws 16.5 20.8
Shooting POR LAC
Field Goals Made 39.5 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 83.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.5 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 25.1
Free Throw % 79.4% 83.0%
Ball Control POR LAC
Rebounds 47.0 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 11.0
Turnovers 12.7 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.6
Steals 6.7 7.9
Fouls 18.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR LAC
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 98.4
% of Possessions with POR LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 15.7% 18.3%
Turnover 12.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR LAC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 25.9%