NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SAC
Points 106.8 119.4
Total Points   226.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 63.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 38.7
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.6
Shooting POR SAC
Field Goals Made 38.8 44.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 87.8
Field Goal % 44.6% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.6
Free Throw % 79.4% 74.6%
Ball Control POR SAC
Rebounds 46.8 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.3
Turnovers 14.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.3
Steals 6.6 8.4
Fouls 17.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SAC
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 102.1
% of Possessions with POR SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.5%
Turnover 13.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SAC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 26.4%