NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR MIN
Points 99.7 115.7
Total Points   215.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.3 60.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 34.5
Points From Free Throws 17.3 20.4
Shooting POR MIN
Field Goals Made 36.0 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 81.3
Field Goal % 41.5% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.3 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 26.5
Free Throw % 79.4% 76.8%
Ball Control POR MIN
Rebounds 45.9 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 32.0 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 10.8
Turnovers 14.1 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.9
Steals 6.9 8.3
Fouls 19.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR MIN
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 97.2
% of Possessions with POR MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 27.8%
Player Fouled 16.4% 19.9%
Turnover 14.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR MIN
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 25.2%