NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS LAC
Points 116.5 115.7
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 44.1 40.3
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.7
Shooting GS LAC
Field Goals Made 43.1 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 87.9
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 22.6
Free Throw % 77.7% 83.0%
Ball Control GS LAC
Rebounds 50.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.7
Turnovers 12.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.5
Steals 6.2 6.9
Fouls 17.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS LAC
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 101.1
% of Possessions with GS LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 30.8%
Player Fouled 15.5% 17.0%
Turnover 11.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS LAC
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 24.5%