NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS OKC
Points 113.6 118.9
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.5 59.8
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 41.5
Points From Free Throws 16.3 17.6
Shooting GS OKC
Field Goals Made 41.0 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 90.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 40.0 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 21.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 81.8%
Ball Control GS OKC
Rebounds 53.2 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 10.3
Turnovers 14.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 6.4
Steals 6.1 7.7
Fouls 17.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS OKC
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 102.4
% of Possessions with GS OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 31.4%
Player Fouled 14.8% 17.1%
Turnover 14.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS OKC
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 21.4%