NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS WAS
Points 126.1 114.2
Total Points   240.3
Points From 2-Pointers 68.0 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 39.9
Points From Free Throws 17.6 15.8
Shooting GS WAS
Field Goals Made 47.5 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 92.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 34.0 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.6 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.6
Free Throw % 77.7% 76.8%
Ball Control GS WAS
Rebounds 56.2 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 41.5 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 10.4
Turnovers 12.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.7
Steals 6.7 6.8
Fouls 16.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS WAS
Total Possessions 105.5
Effective Scoring Chances 107.4 103.8
% of Possessions with GS WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 32.1%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.6%
Turnover 12.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS WAS
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 20.1%