NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BOS
Points 104.8 125.7
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 44.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 18.0
Shooting WAS BOS
Field Goals Made 40.3 46.4
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 91.4
Field Goal % 42.9% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.4 39.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 22.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 80.1%
Ball Control WAS BOS
Rebounds 44.9 56.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 43.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 13.0
Turnovers 11.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.3 7.6
Steals 5.3 6.8
Fouls 16.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BOS
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 104.9
% of Possessions with WAS BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 34.1%
Player Fouled 13.5% 16.3%
Turnover 11.2% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BOS
Shot Blocked 8.4% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 27.4%