NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DEN
Points 109.1 123.3
Total Points   232.4
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 73.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.3 31.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.5
Shooting WAS DEN
Field Goals Made 41.1 47.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 90.8
Field Goal % 45.5% 52.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 36.9
2 Pointers Attempted 57.8 61.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 22.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.9%
Ball Control WAS DEN
Rebounds 43.2 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 40.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.8
Turnovers 11.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.6
Steals 6.2 6.7
Fouls 17.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DEN
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 104.1
% of Possessions with WAS DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 17.1%
Turnover 11.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DEN
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 27.9%