Denver (Away) NY Jets (Home)
Win Odds 37.1% 62.9%
Spread +7.5 -7.5
Cover Odds 54.7% 45.3%
Proj Score 17.2 23.9

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/29/24 Denver 21.1 23.3 -6.5 37.1% 62.9% NY Jets 21.1 21.6 -3.0
 
Team Like Denver Team Like NY Jets
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 19.2 09/21/03 Cleveland 20.8 22.5 -11.5 13 12 San Francisco 21.0 23.0 +19.5
2 22.4 09/24/06 LA Rams 22.8 23.6 +0.5 16 14 Arizona 23.6 23.2 -2.0
3 23.4 09/17/23 Las Vegas 23.6 24.2 +1.0 10 38 Buffalo 24.5 25.2 -6.0
4 24.3 09/09/07 NY Giants 19.6 21.6 -3.7 35 45 Dallas 19.6 22.4 -1.3
5 24.7 10/21/12 Arizona 27.7 26.1 +2.2 14 21 Minnesota 29.1 26.4 +4.8
6 25.0 09/17/17 Minnesota 27.8 27.9 +10.0 9 26 Pittsburgh 33.2 26.8 +3.0
7 25.1 09/30/18 NY Jets 23.6 26.6 +6.3 12 31 Jacksonville 22.1 23.7 +4.3
8 25.5 10/04/15 Cleveland 18.0 20.9 -4.7 27 30 LA Chargers 17.7 19.2 -5.7
9 26.4 09/29/16 Miami 21.7 24.6 -1.0 7 22 Cincinnati 28.3 26.0 -6.3
10 27.9 10/05/03 Detroit 11.9 21.1 -5.3 17 24 San Francisco 7.9 19.6 +2.5
11 28.1 09/20/20 Denver 25.8 26.5 -2.0 21 26 Pittsburgh 26.7 25.5 +10.0
12 28.1 10/13/19 Pittsburgh 21.0 27.0 -3.0 24 17 LA Chargers 18.7 23.3 +1.8
13 28.1 10/10/04 Detroit 43.8 33.5 -0.3 17 10 Atlanta 38.9 30.6 +9.8
14 28.3 10/04/09 Las Vegas 19.5 20.3 -7.0 6 29 Houston 14.5 20.6 -7.0
15 29.5 10/16/22 NY Jets 29.6 28.0 -0.4 27 10 Green Bay 30.9 24.9 +0.2
16 29.5 10/08/17 Jacksonville 22.7 27.3 +8.8 30 9 Pittsburgh 24.5 25.5 +7.8
17 29.8 09/23/12 LA Rams 23.0 23.7 -0.5 6 23 Chicago 21.1 22.4 +3.5
18 29.9 10/29/23 LA Rams 26.5 27.0 +2.0 20 43 Dallas 27.8 27.1 +9.0
19 29.9 10/08/15 Indianapolis 19.1 19.3 -5.3 27 20 Houston 18.7 19.0 -7.8
20 30.1 09/16/07 Houston 30.9 29.1 +17.0 34 21 Carolina 27.7 26.2 +14.0
21 30.1 09/24/06 Denver 27.5 26.9 -2.5 17 7 New England 32.9 28.7 +4.5
22 30.7 09/27/15 San Francisco 24.0 23.7 -4.0 7 47 Arizona 26.8 26.6 +18.5
23 31.2 09/26/04 New Orleans 22.1 23.0 -5.5 28 25 LA Rams 26.5 24.2 -5.0
24 31.2 10/14/12 LA Rams 33.3 29.0 +0.4 14 17 Miami 29.5 26.7 0.0
25 32.6 09/11/11 Carolina 11.5 14.2 -14.4 21 28 Arizona 11.7 14.7 -8.4
26 32.6 09/15/24 Chicago 26.9 26.5 +7.0 13 19 Houston 26.2 24.0 +2.0
27 32.7 09/19/10 Pittsburgh 33.2 28.9 +6.0 19 11 Tennessee 30.9 28.0 +25.0
28 32.9 10/01/17 Detroit 31.6 28.9 +7.3 14 7 Minnesota 29.6 27.0 +3.3
29 33.0 10/18/12 Seattle 32.2 29.7 +2.8 6 13 San Francisco 31.9 30.5 +9.7
30 33.3 09/08/19 Tennessee 28.8 26.8 -1.4 43 13 Cleveland 25.2 25.6 +3.4
31 33.4 09/29/08 Baltimore 26.7 28.7 +12.5 20 23 Pittsburgh 26.7 28.9 +5.3
32 33.5 10/01/23 New England 26.3 26.9 -2.3 3 38 Dallas 26.8 29.2 +16.0
33 33.6 09/13/15 Baltimore 30.6 30.0 +4.1 13 19 Denver 31.1 28.8 +6.9
34 33.7 10/07/07 Seattle 32.7 30.4 +8.5 0 21 Pittsburgh 29.5 30.9 +16.0
35 33.8 09/26/21 LA Chargers 27.8 26.8 +0.5 30 24 Kansas City 33.0 29.5 +1.5
36 33.8 09/08/13 Miami 21.0 22.5 -2.3 23 10 Cleveland 19.8 22.0 -3.4
37 33.9 10/01/12 Chicago 26.4 27.2 +8.0 34 18 Dallas 27.2 25.3 -2.3
38 33.9 09/21/03 New Orleans 26.3 26.5 +2.0 12 27 Tennessee 30.5 25.9 -10.5
39 34.0 09/11/16 Chicago 23.0 24.7 -3.9 14 23 Houston 24.8 24.7 +2.3
40 34.0 09/19/04 Pittsburgh 23.2 24.0 +3.0 13 30 Baltimore 22.4 24.2 -17.0
41 34.2 09/16/12 Cleveland 15.5 24.1 -1.0 27 34 Cincinnati 19.6 21.0 -31.0
42 34.3 09/23/12 Jacksonville 7.4 15.9 -11.5 22 17 Indianapolis 11.3 14.1 -8.5
43 34.5 09/28/14 Tennessee 21.7 21.8 -8.7 17 41 Indianapolis 17.8 21.5 +5.7
44 34.5 09/13/15 Detroit 27.3 26.6 +0.4 28 33 LA Chargers 26.5 24.3 -2.7
45 34.5 10/06/22 Indianapolis 19.9 20.2 -7.0 12 9 Denver 18.2 21.0 -0.5
46 34.6 09/30/18 Buffalo 25.9 24.2 -11.3 0 22 Green Bay 17.1 18.5 -4.3
47 34.7 09/08/19 Indianapolis 33.4 29.8 +4.7 24 30 LA Chargers 33.2 29.6 +0.6
48 34.9 09/27/20 Cincinnati 13.1 20.9 -4.0 23 23 Philadelphia 15.9 18.3 -14.0
49 34.9 09/19/04 San Francisco 18.4 23.4 -2.0 27 30 New Orleans 17.4 20.8 -14.0
50 35.0 09/27/20 Las Vegas 27.8 25.7 +7.0 20 36 New England 28.9 29.0 +2.5
51 35.1 10/14/18 Buffalo 26.5 21.5 -11.0 13 20 Houston 17.6 21.0 -1.8
52 35.2 09/24/06 Jacksonville 41.2 33.0 +8.0 14 21 Indianapolis 37.0 31.9 +12.0
53 35.2 09/21/15 NY Jets 30.8 30.9 +21.0 20 7 Indianapolis 33.1 28.5 -13.0
54 35.3 10/01/06 San Francisco 19.5 19.5 -4.7 0 41 Kansas City 20.7 25.8 -8.0
55 35.3 10/02/05 NY Jets 23.2 23.7 -5.3 3 13 Baltimore 10.7 14.8 -16.0
56 35.8 09/15/13 Miami 28.1 26.2 +13.0 24 20 Indianapolis 28.5 23.6 +4.0
57 36.0 09/23/18 NY Giants 11.7 18.7 -6.0 27 22 Houston 12.9 19.9 -5.0
58 36.0 10/25/09 Arizona 34.8 31.6 +4.0 24 17 NY Giants 33.5 29.1 +9.8
59 36.1 09/25/16 Chicago 14.8 18.4 -12.0 17 31 Dallas 18.6 21.5 +1.5
60 36.1 10/09/11 Arizona 15.1 22.0 -0.3 10 34 Minnesota 11.7 18.0 -4.8
61 36.2 09/10/17 NY Giants 28.0 25.9 -0.4 3 19 Dallas 28.8 28.1 +2.0
62 36.3 11/09/03 Arizona 20.7 20.7 -11.5 15 28 Pittsburgh 14.9 20.3 -6.8
63 36.3 09/14/14 NY Jets 25.8 22.4 +5.0 24 31 Green Bay 22.1 22.6 -20.0
64 36.4 10/17/16 NY Jets 17.8 19.9 -8.8 3 28 Arizona 21.1 26.1 +4.8
65 36.4 09/22/19 New Orleans 29.2 25.7 -8.0 33 27 Seattle 33.8 27.7 +1.5
66 36.5 10/14/07 Carolina 19.5 20.0 -0.4 25 10 Arizona 25.5 24.7 +1.4
67 36.5 09/17/20 Cincinnati 12.4 19.5 -3.0 30 35 Cleveland 17.0 19.0 -32.0
68 36.6 10/01/06 Arizona 21.7 21.8 -2.0 10 32 Atlanta 27.0 25.5 +1.7
69 36.6 10/09/05 New Orleans 24.6 23.0 -4.8 3 52 Green Bay 11.2 21.7 -5.0
70 36.7 09/22/13 LA Chargers 22.8 22.7 0.0 17 20 Tennessee 24.2 22.9 +0.5
71 36.8 11/07/21 Minnesota 25.2 26.8 +0.9 31 34 Baltimore 29.5 26.9 +3.3
72 36.8 11/12/06 Cleveland 21.8 23.3 -4.8 17 13 Atlanta 23.8 22.3 +0.4
73 36.9 10/24/04 Chicago 20.2 24.9 -2.2 7 19 Tampa Bay 12.8 19.4 -4.5
74 36.9 09/18/05 Cleveland 16.3 19.5 -14.0 26 24 Green Bay 14.9 18.7 -14.0
75 37.0 09/17/06 Buffalo 18.2 23.6 -2.0 16 6 Miami 26.7 25.1 -11.0