Tampa Bay (Away) Carolina (Home)
Win Odds 73.0% 27.0%
Spread -2.0 +2.0
Cover Odds 49.0% 51.0%
Proj Score 23.6 19.3

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
12/01/24 Tampa Bay 35.6 30.3 +10.5 73.0% 27.0% Carolina 6.2 11.8 -30.0
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like Carolina
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 39.6 12/12/10 Atlanta 40.1 31.4 +5.9 31 10 Carolina 9.2 14.0 -12.8
2 42.4 12/17/17 Baltimore 30.5 30.1 +5.5 27 10 Cleveland 3.7 14.3 -10.6
3 43.2 11/22/09 Cincinnati 38.7 32.9 +5.7 17 20 Las Vegas 10.2 14.5 -14.3
4 44.5 12/01/14 Miami 33.5 32.6 +6.0 16 13 NY Jets 15.9 18.1 -11.5
5 45.7 11/30/08 Baltimore 35.8 32.9 +6.5 34 3 Cincinnati 17.6 19.1 -11.6
6 46.5 12/06/15 Carolina 43.8 34.8 +11.5 41 38 New Orleans 15.5 17.5 -7.1
7 47.3 12/17/17 Philadelphia 39.6 35.5 +11.8 34 29 NY Giants 12.7 17.0 -9.4
8 47.9 11/09/03 Indianapolis 41.0 33.9 +11.0 23 28 Jacksonville 14.1 19.3 -8.0
9 48.0 11/18/18 Pittsburgh 39.0 34.1 +7.8 20 16 Jacksonville 16.4 21.2 -4.3
10 48.3 12/06/15 Cincinnati 34.6 32.8 +9.5 37 3 Cleveland 11.1 17.0 -8.8
11 48.8 09/30/12 Seattle 39.0 32.6 +6.0 13 19 LA Rams 10.3 15.8 -6.0
12 48.9 11/26/15 Carolina 44.5 34.8 +10.8 33 14 Dallas 19.0 22.6 -3.8
13 48.9 11/12/06 Dallas 28.6 30.1 +7.4 27 10 Arizona 7.0 14.7 -7.8
14 49.1 10/02/11 Washington 30.8 27.5 +4.3 17 10 LA Rams 0.1 8.3 -20.0
15 49.2 11/19/17 Jacksonville 30.8 30.5 +10.2 19 7 Cleveland 4.2 14.6 -10.8
16 50.1 11/08/09 Green Bay 28.5 28.1 +7.6 28 38 Tampa Bay -2.7 10.1 -15.3
17 50.5 11/15/15 Carolina 43.0 31.7 +7.9 27 10 Tennessee 16.0 19.7 -3.5
18 50.6 10/29/23 Houston 31.1 29.9 +3.7 13 15 Carolina 5.3 14.0 -12.3
19 50.8 11/15/09 Denver 34.8 29.3 +3.3 17 27 Washington 5.6 15.0 -5.1
20 50.9 10/28/07 Cleveland 17.8 23.5 -2.7 27 20 LA Rams -5.3 7.5 -16.1
21 51.0 12/16/07 Green Bay 40.1 34.5 +10.2 33 14 LA Rams 16.1 18.8 -8.5
22 51.1 12/11/16 Cincinnati 21.9 25.3 -1.2 23 10 Cleveland 3.3 12.9 -12.9
23 51.3 11/29/20 Miami 27.8 27.4 +6.2 20 3 NY Jets 4.4 14.2 -15.3
24 51.4 12/30/07 Seattle 28.3 28.1 +7.0 41 44 Atlanta 11.0 14.7 -10.5
25 52.1 11/25/12 Denver 36.6 34.1 +8.9 17 9 Kansas City 5.8 13.3 -13.2
26 52.6 11/11/18 LA Chargers 35.9 29.6 +5.0 20 6 Las Vegas 5.8 11.7 -13.9
27 52.7 11/09/14 Pittsburgh 29.3 28.9 +3.2 13 20 NY Jets 10.4 17.2 -10.9
28 52.9 10/22/23 Buffalo 31.9 30.8 +14.0 25 29 New England 12.1 16.0 -13.3
29 53.3 12/04/11 Green Bay 46.1 36.5 +14.1 38 35 NY Giants 22.4 22.3 -2.3
30 53.3 12/09/18 Denver 33.7 29.7 +1.2 14 20 San Francisco 10.4 16.8 -6.8
31 53.7 12/09/07 Minnesota 33.2 31.0 +3.4 27 7 San Francisco 11.3 14.5 -10.1
32 53.7 11/20/14 Kansas City 39.6 33.1 +7.0 20 24 Las Vegas 10.0 18.1 -11.3
33 54.8 11/23/03 Tennessee 42.5 34.9 +8.8 38 31 Atlanta 18.2 20.6 -9.6
34 55.2 10/26/03 Tennessee 38.7 32.7 +6.3 30 17 Jacksonville 14.9 19.1 -7.3
35 55.3 10/31/21 Cincinnati 37.2 33.4 +8.7 31 34 NY Jets 6.7 11.6 -15.8
36 55.3 12/06/15 Arizona 37.6 32.2 +11.5 27 3 LA Rams 20.1 22.3 -4.0
37 55.3 12/21/14 New England 42.7 37.8 +11.6 17 16 NY Jets 16.5 19.7 -9.3
38 55.5 11/06/11 Atlanta 36.0 30.0 -0.7 31 7 Indianapolis 6.4 14.2 -16.4
39 55.8 12/01/16 Dallas 39.5 32.7 +9.4 17 15 Minnesota 22.0 23.8 +2.4
40 56.1 12/18/22 Cincinnati 35.8 30.7 +5.4 34 23 Tampa Bay 20.5 21.4 -2.3
41 56.2 12/01/13 New England 34.3 30.8 +5.3 34 31 Houston 9.5 17.7 -8.2
42 56.3 11/24/19 Pittsburgh 29.9 27.6 -0.2 16 10 Cincinnati 8.3 16.5 -12.9
43 56.4 11/20/05 Pittsburgh 35.7 31.5 +8.7 13 16 Baltimore 16.2 20.4 -7.9
44 56.5 12/18/11 Tennessee 24.8 25.2 +1.2 13 27 Indianapolis 3.3 14.0 -15.2
45 56.6 12/06/09 New Orleans 46.3 38.7 +16.9 33 30 Washington 16.3 21.7 -3.2
46 57.0 11/06/05 LA Chargers 38.7 35.2 +6.9 31 26 NY Jets 16.0 18.9 -6.7
47 57.0 11/27/08 Tennessee 36.7 30.9 +8.4 47 10 Detroit 4.1 13.7 -13.9
48 57.0 12/07/08 Minnesota 31.1 29.0 +2.3 20 16 Detroit 4.5 12.5 -15.8
49 57.1 11/30/08 NY Giants 42.1 34.9 +11.8 23 7 Washington 24.2 23.1 +0.2
50 57.6 11/16/09 Baltimore 30.8 31.0 +6.5 16 0 Cleveland 12.1 13.8 -16.4
51 57.6 09/30/07 Houston 38.7 32.3 +8.0 16 26 Atlanta 5.8 15.4 -11.3
52 57.7 11/22/09 Arizona 31.4 29.3 +5.0 21 13 LA Rams 12.0 16.5 -16.6
53 57.7 12/27/04 Philadelphia 39.5 32.6 +11.9 7 20 LA Rams 15.4 16.6 -6.4
54 57.7 12/05/04 Buffalo 31.4 29.6 +2.4 42 32 Miami 13.8 18.8 -5.7
55 57.8 09/14/03 Seattle 29.7 28.8 +17.0 38 0 Arizona 6.5 12.8 -18.0
56 57.9 10/11/09 Indianapolis 45.3 38.1 +11.0 31 9 Tennessee 12.2 22.9 -8.3
57 58.1 12/26/05 New England 33.5 30.5 +2.4 31 21 NY Jets 15.2 20.1 -7.8
58 58.2 10/19/14 Arizona 39.0 31.1 +2.0 24 13 Las Vegas 6.7 18.4 -11.0
59 58.3 12/11/11 New England 33.7 31.9 +9.6 34 27 Washington 16.9 19.8 -4.5
60 58.3 10/19/14 Cleveland 25.2 24.9 +3.8 6 24 Jacksonville 2.4 12.6 -17.3
61 58.3 12/24/06 LA Chargers 40.8 34.4 +12.8 20 17 Seattle 17.4 18.8 -1.4
62 58.4 12/24/06 Chicago 33.5 30.0 +13.3 26 21 Detroit 9.6 16.4 -6.9
63 58.4 12/05/04 Pittsburgh 46.7 36.4 +8.0 17 16 Jacksonville 22.9 23.5 -2.4
64 58.4 11/06/16 Dallas 38.5 33.1 +8.3 35 10 Cleveland 5.8 16.5 -10.0
65 58.5 12/06/12 Denver 37.0 33.3 +8.8 26 13 Las Vegas 12.8 16.5 -11.8
66 58.7 11/21/13 New Orleans 33.6 31.8 +10.5 17 13 Atlanta 13.9 17.9 -7.8
67 58.7 12/26/04 Buffalo 35.2 33.6 +5.9 41 7 San Francisco 8.8 13.8 -10.4
68 58.8 10/17/21 Dallas 42.9 36.8 +10.6 35 29 New England 15.9 21.6 +0.8
69 58.9 11/04/18 Kansas City 40.1 34.1 +10.6 37 21 Cleveland 18.1 20.1 -5.1
70 59.0 12/28/14 Indianapolis 30.3 27.2 +4.8 27 10 Tennessee 4.6 13.5 -11.1
71 59.1 11/27/05 Carolina 31.4 28.7 +7.4 13 9 Buffalo 19.2 20.3 -5.8
72 59.3 12/03/17 LA Rams 36.0 32.6 +11.2 32 16 Arizona 21.3 21.7 -6.8
73 59.3 11/30/14 Arizona 36.1 29.7 +4.1 18 29 Atlanta 16.9 20.5 -1.7
74 59.5 10/19/08 Tennessee 43.5 35.0 +11.8 34 10 Kansas City 14.6 16.0 -13.2
75 59.5 12/28/14 Dallas 32.0 29.8 +5.9 44 17 Washington 14.5 17.7 -7.3