Arizona (Away) Miami (Home)
Win Odds 46.0% 54.0%
Spread +6.0 -6.0
Cover Odds 57.3% 42.7%
Proj Score 20.3 25.0

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/27/24 Arizona 27.9 29.3 +12.5 46.0% 54.0% Miami 21.5 20.7 -9.0
 
Team Like Arizona Team Like Miami
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 27.1 10/24/04 LA Chargers 31.2 29.2 +4.0 17 6 Carolina 20.8 22.3 -8.2
2 34.6 11/12/17 Dallas 30.7 30.3 +6.0 7 27 Atlanta 25.5 24.8 -0.3
3 36.6 11/13/16 Dallas 36.6 33.2 +10.4 35 30 Pittsburgh 24.0 25.4 +1.6
4 36.9 10/23/05 LA Chargers 34.3 34.7 +8.3 17 20 Philadelphia 32.9 27.4 +4.2
5 36.9 11/30/08 Atlanta 29.4 28.9 +4.5 22 16 LA Chargers 23.1 26.1 +2.0
6 37.4 10/16/16 Atlanta 37.8 32.8 +7.0 24 26 Seattle 25.5 25.2 +6.3
7 37.8 10/13/13 New Orleans 43.7 34.6 +12.2 27 30 New England 32.0 27.7 +5.0
8 38.3 11/27/11 Chicago 36.3 31.6 +6.1 20 25 Las Vegas 24.8 23.0 -1.9
9 38.3 10/25/15 New Orleans 26.2 24.6 -5.0 27 21 Indianapolis 22.4 21.5 -3.5
10 38.3 11/21/21 Arizona 32.1 30.5 +9.8 23 13 Seattle 22.5 25.0 -0.6
11 38.8 11/07/21 Arizona 41.5 35.9 +13.5 31 17 San Francisco 23.7 25.6 -0.4
12 38.9 10/15/23 Seattle 34.2 29.2 +5.0 13 17 Cincinnati 23.3 23.8 -6.2
13 39.4 11/12/06 LA Chargers 32.5 31.3 +14.3 49 41 Cincinnati 22.8 24.4 +0.9
14 39.8 11/05/23 Minnesota 26.7 27.0 +1.6 31 28 Atlanta 20.5 21.2 -2.9
15 40.2 10/31/04 Detroit 32.5 27.2 -1.2 21 31 Dallas 19.6 19.6 -8.2
16 40.4 10/17/21 LA Chargers 43.2 34.5 +5.2 6 34 Baltimore 30.3 26.4 +3.8
17 40.6 10/20/13 Baltimore 27.8 27.0 +0.8 16 19 Pittsburgh 14.6 18.4 -5.6
18 41.0 10/31/21 Dallas 37.7 32.7 +9.8 20 16 Minnesota 26.7 27.2 +1.7
19 41.2 10/29/07 Green Bay 37.0 30.1 +5.8 19 13 Denver 27.2 23.8 -9.7
20 41.4 10/27/22 Baltimore 32.4 28.6 +2.9 27 22 Tampa Bay 18.4 22.3 0.0
21 41.5 09/20/09 Arizona 29.1 28.1 -4.0 31 17 Jacksonville 16.7 22.1 -2.0
22 41.8 11/07/16 Buffalo 24.0 27.1 +5.0 25 31 Seattle 26.0 26.0 +3.1
23 42.0 11/04/12 Tampa Bay 21.0 26.2 +4.4 42 32 Las Vegas 22.0 21.2 -6.9
24 42.2 11/09/14 Miami 31.5 31.7 +7.5 16 20 Detroit 28.6 25.5 +4.5
25 42.5 10/12/15 Pittsburgh 27.7 30.0 +5.3 24 20 LA Chargers 21.2 21.5 -3.5
26 42.7 10/24/04 Chicago 20.2 24.9 -2.2 7 19 Tampa Bay 12.8 19.4 -4.5
27 42.7 11/09/14 Kansas City 35.5 32.9 +7.8 17 13 Buffalo 28.4 26.4 +1.6
28 43.0 10/23/11 Seattle 25.7 24.1 -5.6 3 6 Cleveland 12.3 17.3 -5.2
29 43.0 10/20/08 Denver 24.7 22.8 +2.0 7 41 New England 19.9 20.1 -4.0
30 43.1 10/25/09 Atlanta 40.8 34.9 +9.2 21 37 Dallas 24.9 25.7 +4.8
31 43.5 10/23/16 Las Vegas 27.5 23.7 -1.8 33 16 Jacksonville 19.5 20.1 -5.2
32 43.6 10/25/09 Minnesota 41.8 32.4 +11.3 17 27 Pittsburgh 30.2 27.4 +4.7
33 44.0 10/31/04 Arizona 18.0 23.2 +1.3 14 38 Buffalo 18.1 22.2 -4.8
34 44.3 11/05/23 LA Rams 22.3 23.9 -1.1 3 20 Green Bay 15.4 20.1 -2.3
35 44.3 11/19/06 Washington 21.4 22.8 -5.8 17 20 Tampa Bay 15.6 17.5 -9.4
36 44.4 11/06/11 Cincinnati 33.1 30.3 +6.9 24 17 Tennessee 20.7 21.7 -0.9
37 44.6 10/15/06 Kansas City 27.8 27.0 +7.0 7 45 Pittsburgh 15.8 22.2 -4.0
38 44.8 10/20/19 Houston 34.4 31.4 +4.7 23 30 Indianapolis 26.3 25.0 -0.4
39 44.8 09/27/20 LA Rams 36.3 31.1 +10.5 32 35 Buffalo 31.6 28.2 +6.5
40 44.9 10/13/19 Seattle 35.8 28.2 +3.0 32 28 Cleveland 21.9 23.7 -6.0
41 45.1 10/21/05 Kansas City 30.6 26.3 +1.4 30 20 Miami 22.7 22.7 -0.6
42 45.2 10/26/03 LA Rams 30.1 31.1 +10.3 33 21 Pittsburgh 18.7 21.8 -5.8
43 45.4 10/18/15 Carolina 35.5 27.5 +9.3 27 23 Seattle 27.4 27.3 +2.6
44 45.4 11/13/05 Kansas City 34.2 29.3 +1.6 3 14 Buffalo 14.3 18.6 -3.9
45 45.8 11/17/16 New Orleans 27.9 27.3 +0.2 20 23 Carolina 22.1 24.7 -0.6
46 45.9 10/23/05 Tennessee 18.4 22.2 -5.2 10 20 Arizona 8.9 16.4 -8.0
47 46.1 11/07/10 Indianapolis 34.1 30.6 +7.3 24 26 Philadelphia 27.7 27.0 +2.1
48 46.1 11/17/13 Green Bay 24.7 25.6 +3.7 13 27 NY Giants 25.5 23.7 -8.7
49 46.3 11/02/14 LA Chargers 31.6 30.7 +7.0 0 37 Miami 27.6 28.1 +3.3
50 46.3 10/14/18 Kansas City 47.1 34.3 +9.2 40 43 New England 24.9 26.2 +5.0
51 46.4 11/04/07 Green Bay 38.4 30.2 +5.9 33 22 Kansas City 28.6 25.3 -1.6
52 46.4 10/26/03 Denver 32.5 30.4 +9.0 6 26 Baltimore 19.7 22.5 +1.3
53 46.5 10/26/03 Seattle 29.8 27.4 +7.0 24 27 Cincinnati 18.9 22.4 -3.5
54 46.5 10/17/04 Pittsburgh 25.3 23.1 +3.6 24 20 Dallas 25.4 20.8 -6.0
55 46.6 10/09/23 Green Bay 27.3 25.1 +1.0 13 17 Las Vegas 10.4 16.8 -9.8
56 46.7 10/30/11 Dallas 28.1 28.2 +3.5 7 34 Philadelphia 21.2 25.0 0.0
57 46.7 11/06/16 Philadelphia 29.3 30.3 +8.9 23 28 NY Giants 26.7 24.8 -1.1
58 46.8 10/28/12 NY Giants 34.1 33.2 +9.7 29 24 Dallas 27.6 26.6 -3.3
59 46.8 11/08/15 Las Vegas 30.0 28.6 +0.7 35 38 Pittsburgh 28.2 28.7 +2.6
60 46.8 10/20/13 Dallas 28.5 31.1 +5.2 17 3 Philadelphia 24.9 26.6 -2.2
61 47.0 11/12/06 New Orleans 29.3 26.9 +4.9 31 38 Pittsburgh 18.3 22.8 +0.1
62 47.1 09/30/12 LA Chargers 30.8 26.9 +4.0 37 20 Kansas City 17.4 18.1 -10.3
63 47.1 10/30/16 Detroit 27.5 24.5 0.0 13 20 Houston 26.5 22.4 -5.3
64 47.2 11/19/06 Detroit 16.8 20.0 -5.2 10 17 Arizona 7.9 15.7 -8.8
65 47.3 12/25/21 Indianapolis 31.4 31.5 +7.0 22 16 Arizona 24.3 24.9 +6.7
66 47.4 10/31/21 Tennessee 32.4 31.0 +4.1 34 31 Indianapolis 23.4 27.6 +2.9
67 47.4 11/11/07 Detroit 35.5 29.0 +1.9 21 31 Arizona 14.0 19.8 -2.1
68 47.5 10/20/22 New Orleans 17.7 21.8 -2.8 34 42 Arizona 15.9 20.8 -4.7
69 47.5 11/07/04 Houston 32.2 28.7 +2.1 13 31 Denver 23.3 23.5 +3.4
70 47.6 11/30/03 Cincinnati 26.3 25.3 -0.2 24 20 Pittsburgh 20.9 22.8 -4.5
71 47.6 12/14/08 NY Giants 38.8 34.4 +10.8 8 20 Dallas 28.7 27.3 +2.5
72 47.6 10/28/07 Jacksonville 37.0 30.6 +3.3 24 23 Tampa Bay 31.4 26.8 +2.0
73 47.9 09/26/21 New Orleans 32.2 31.1 +8.0 28 13 New England 24.8 26.4 +9.0
74 47.9 09/14/03 San Francisco 27.3 26.2 +42.0 24 27 LA Rams 22.3 22.9 -10.0
75 47.9 09/15/19 Seattle 30.6 27.0 +1.0 28 26 Pittsburgh 24.9 23.8 -30.0