Kansas City (Away) Buffalo (Home)
Win Odds 40.5% 59.5%
Spread -1.0 +1.0
Cover Odds 47.1% 52.9%
Proj Score 22.5 22.0

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
11/17/24 Kansas City 35.9 29.9 +4.0 40.5% 59.5% Buffalo 38.9 33.9 +13.5
 
Team Like Kansas City Team Like Buffalo
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 22.6 12/04/11 Atlanta 30.2 28.1 +2.9 10 17 Houston 35.2 32.9 +10.4
2 25.8 11/20/22 Dallas 30.3 29.1 +5.2 40 3 Minnesota 43.4 31.6 +3.9
3 26.0 11/16/14 Detroit 31.9 27.6 +4.4 6 14 Arizona 41.9 32.9 +5.9
4 26.9 11/22/15 Green Bay 25.8 25.7 +3.8 30 13 Minnesota 35.3 30.0 +4.9
5 27.3 11/28/21 Tampa Bay 27.8 27.9 +8.7 38 31 Indianapolis 31.0 30.9 +5.8
6 29.9 11/08/15 Green Bay 37.9 30.3 +6.3 29 37 Carolina 40.9 30.5 +7.9
7 29.9 11/16/14 Seattle 29.5 27.4 +5.4 20 24 Kansas City 39.5 34.1 +7.3
8 30.1 11/17/19 Houston 31.5 29.3 +5.2 7 41 Baltimore 39.0 33.8 +12.3
9 30.2 11/07/10 Kansas City 28.8 27.3 +5.9 20 23 Las Vegas 24.7 26.9 +5.5
10 31.7 12/05/10 Pittsburgh 33.6 29.6 +6.6 13 10 Baltimore 36.4 31.3 +5.6
11 31.7 11/11/10 Baltimore 35.4 30.0 +4.5 21 26 Atlanta 35.1 28.3 +5.3
12 32.1 11/26/23 Buffalo 23.4 26.4 +9.5 34 37 Philadelphia 39.1 31.4 +6.1
13 32.5 11/30/14 Cleveland 23.7 23.4 +2.1 10 26 Buffalo 28.3 27.9 +2.8
14 32.6 11/05/23 Tampa Bay 20.2 22.9 -1.0 37 39 Houston 23.5 26.2 +2.9
15 32.9 11/20/17 Atlanta 27.6 27.2 +2.0 34 31 Seattle 27.2 26.3 +5.1
16 33.1 12/20/20 New England 25.1 24.7 -0.2 12 22 Miami 28.5 27.9 +6.5
17 33.1 11/19/17 Baltimore 22.8 24.6 +2.1 23 0 Green Bay 30.0 27.4 -0.3
18 33.2 11/10/13 Philadelphia 22.7 24.8 -0.7 27 13 Green Bay 29.9 29.4 +5.9
19 33.6 11/28/10 Minnesota 19.1 21.1 -5.4 17 13 Washington 26.3 24.5 -4.3
20 34.2 11/28/21 LA Rams 26.9 26.5 +4.4 28 36 Green Bay 30.4 29.1 +3.0
21 34.3 11/04/18 LA Chargers 32.1 26.6 +4.6 25 17 Seattle 31.4 30.8 +5.7
22 34.4 11/30/08 Carolina 29.1 27.1 +4.5 35 31 Green Bay 26.6 28.3 +3.9
23 34.5 11/17/19 Jacksonville 22.7 23.1 -1.4 13 33 Indianapolis 25.0 24.8 +0.1
24 34.7 11/12/23 New Orleans 24.9 25.8 +2.7 19 27 Minnesota 29.7 27.9 +1.8
25 34.7 11/13/11 Pittsburgh 28.1 27.8 +3.8 24 17 Cincinnati 34.0 29.8 +6.9
26 34.9 11/21/10 Indianapolis 29.7 28.7 +6.1 28 31 New England 35.9 30.1 +4.9
27 35.1 11/23/08 Philadelphia 26.7 28.1 +7.1 7 36 Baltimore 34.7 30.7 +4.2
28 35.1 10/29/06 Baltimore 30.5 29.2 +6.8 35 22 New Orleans 36.6 30.6 +5.8
29 35.2 11/14/21 New Orleans 28.9 28.1 +5.8 21 23 Tennessee 39.4 34.0 +4.9
30 35.4 12/05/04 Denver 26.5 27.0 +5.9 17 20 LA Chargers 35.0 31.6 +8.9
31 35.6 11/28/21 Pittsburgh 24.1 23.5 -1.2 10 41 Cincinnati 25.8 25.9 +5.2
32 35.7 11/13/14 Buffalo 28.7 27.3 +1.0 9 22 Miami 30.6 30.7 +6.2
33 35.7 11/08/18 Carolina 33.4 30.0 +5.0 21 52 Pittsburgh 36.9 31.9 +4.9
34 35.8 11/26/23 Pittsburgh 30.0 26.5 -2.9 16 10 Cincinnati 26.9 26.5 -2.4
35 35.8 11/20/22 NY Jets 33.0 29.0 +2.2 3 10 New England 30.5 28.8 +4.1
36 36.1 11/15/18 Green Bay 24.0 24.5 +0.8 24 27 Seattle 26.3 27.5 +3.0
37 36.1 11/22/20 Detroit 22.2 21.9 -4.4 0 20 Carolina 21.0 24.2 -3.9
38 36.2 11/08/15 LA Rams 29.2 27.4 +1.4 18 21 Minnesota 32.3 27.3 +3.6
39 36.3 12/04/22 Kansas City 34.7 30.0 +7.5 24 27 Cincinnati 34.0 30.4 +4.9
40 36.4 12/27/03 Seattle 25.2 27.0 +4.7 24 17 San Francisco 29.3 29.0 +3.6
41 36.6 12/12/21 San Francisco 25.3 26.9 +2.1 26 23 Cincinnati 25.0 25.3 +5.3
42 36.8 11/23/17 LA Chargers 24.0 26.8 +2.5 28 6 Dallas 24.2 24.9 0.0
43 36.8 01/01/12 Tennessee 22.6 23.3 +0.5 23 22 Houston 26.0 25.8 +6.9
44 36.8 11/30/08 Pittsburgh 32.9 29.9 +6.9 33 10 New England 30.3 29.1 +4.1
45 36.9 11/12/15 Buffalo 23.8 25.0 +2.4 22 17 NY Jets 27.5 26.9 +4.8
46 37.0 11/26/18 Tennessee 28.2 26.4 -1.1 17 34 Houston 35.6 28.8 +3.4
47 37.1 11/22/20 Philadelphia 18.5 21.6 -3.2 17 22 Cleveland 28.1 23.9 -3.1
48 37.2 12/10/18 Minnesota 26.1 25.9 +0.4 7 21 Seattle 31.2 29.1 +5.0
49 37.4 11/19/06 Minnesota 20.1 22.0 -1.2 20 24 Miami 26.2 26.3 -2.4
50 37.4 11/09/03 Miami 31.2 29.9 +6.4 7 31 Tennessee 40.0 33.4 +7.1
51 37.5 11/25/12 Atlanta 32.1 28.2 +7.7 24 23 Tampa Bay 28.0 28.5 +5.7
52 37.5 11/21/19 Indianapolis 26.7 26.3 +2.1 17 20 Houston 29.6 27.1 +1.3
53 37.6 11/18/18 Minnesota 27.4 26.5 +1.9 20 25 Chicago 27.8 28.5 +10.4
54 37.6 11/06/11 NY Jets 25.6 25.1 +2.9 27 11 Buffalo 33.0 31.0 +9.1
55 37.7 10/18/09 Baltimore 32.9 30.1 +8.2 31 33 Minnesota 43.6 32.9 +13.2
56 38.2 11/10/13 Detroit 29.9 28.1 +2.5 21 19 Chicago 29.6 27.6 +1.8
57 38.3 11/28/10 Green Bay 35.0 33.2 +10.6 17 20 Atlanta 37.7 30.7 +6.4
58 38.3 11/12/20 Indianapolis 28.3 26.9 +6.0 34 17 Tennessee 31.4 27.0 +3.9
59 38.3 10/22/17 Atlanta 28.3 26.5 +2.4 7 23 New England 34.6 29.8 +2.2
60 38.3 11/07/19 LA Chargers 25.7 26.6 +1.7 24 26 Las Vegas 27.1 25.7 -4.3
61 38.3 11/23/14 Cincinnati 23.9 23.7 +0.3 22 13 Houston 24.8 26.2 +2.5
62 38.4 11/19/23 Pittsburgh 29.4 25.2 -2.9 10 13 Cleveland 35.2 30.4 +4.9
63 38.4 11/13/11 New England 27.0 27.0 +4.8 37 16 NY Jets 30.3 28.9 +4.5
64 38.5 11/13/16 Minnesota 24.0 24.8 +3.6 20 26 Washington 26.8 26.3 -0.4
65 38.6 11/23/08 New England 24.4 25.3 +2.5 48 28 Miami 27.1 24.7 +1.2
66 38.6 11/18/10 Chicago 23.6 25.0 +3.2 16 0 Miami 30.3 27.8 -2.2
67 38.6 11/22/15 Dallas 13.5 20.6 -5.3 24 14 Miami 26.3 24.4 -3.8
68 38.6 11/17/19 Atlanta 21.8 22.9 -7.6 29 3 Carolina 28.8 26.7 -0.3
69 38.7 11/16/08 Dallas 25.7 24.3 -0.3 14 10 Washington 26.1 24.4 +0.3
70 38.8 11/08/09 Arizona 25.7 25.3 +2.0 41 21 Chicago 28.3 26.1 +1.3
71 38.9 12/12/21 Buffalo 27.7 30.0 +11.7 27 33 Tampa Bay 33.4 30.9 +8.9
72 38.9 11/29/15 Miami 19.2 19.8 -4.4 20 38 NY Jets 22.1 23.3 +2.6
73 39.0 12/13/21 LA Rams 26.6 26.7 +5.5 30 23 Arizona 32.8 30.3 +9.9
74 39.0 11/05/18 Tennessee 20.4 22.1 -3.0 28 14 Dallas 23.1 25.7 +2.4
75 39.1 11/13/22 Denver 17.1 21.5 -1.4 10 17 Tennessee 29.2 26.1 -1.1