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Kansas City at Buffalo
Sun Nov 17, 2024
4:25pm ET
Orchard Park, NY
Odds:
Kansas City by 1 ,
Total Points:
47.5
This line is off the board at major sportsbooks or was flagged by our system as stale or suspect.
Kansas City (Away) | Buffalo (Home) | |
---|---|---|
Win Odds | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Spread | -1.0 | +1.0 |
Cover Odds | 47.1% | 52.9% |
Proj Score | 22.5 | 22.0 |
NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.
Sim Score | Date | Away Team | Overall Power Rtg | Predictive Power Rtg | Avg Score Margin | Projection | Home Team | Overall Power Rtg | Predictive Power Rtg | Avg Score Margin | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/17/24 | Kansas City | 35.9 | 29.9 | +4.0 | 40.5% | 59.5% | Buffalo | 38.9 | 33.9 | +13.5 | ||
Team Like Kansas City | Team Like Buffalo | |||||||||||
# | Sim Score | Date | Name | Overall Power Rtg | Predictive Power Rtg | Avg Score Margin | Score | Name | Overall Power Rtg | Predictive Power Rtg | Avg Score Margin | |
1 | 22.6 | 12/04/11 | Atlanta | 30.2 | 28.1 | +2.9 | 10 | 17 | Houston | 35.2 | 32.9 | +10.4 |
2 | 25.8 | 11/20/22 | Dallas | 30.3 | 29.1 | +5.2 | 40 | 3 | Minnesota | 43.4 | 31.6 | +3.9 |
3 | 26.0 | 11/16/14 | Detroit | 31.9 | 27.6 | +4.4 | 6 | 14 | Arizona | 41.9 | 32.9 | +5.9 |
4 | 26.9 | 11/22/15 | Green Bay | 25.8 | 25.7 | +3.8 | 30 | 13 | Minnesota | 35.3 | 30.0 | +4.9 |
5 | 27.3 | 11/28/21 | Tampa Bay | 27.8 | 27.9 | +8.7 | 38 | 31 | Indianapolis | 31.0 | 30.9 | +5.8 |
6 | 29.9 | 11/08/15 | Green Bay | 37.9 | 30.3 | +6.3 | 29 | 37 | Carolina | 40.9 | 30.5 | +7.9 |
7 | 29.9 | 11/16/14 | Seattle | 29.5 | 27.4 | +5.4 | 20 | 24 | Kansas City | 39.5 | 34.1 | +7.3 |
8 | 30.1 | 11/17/19 | Houston | 31.5 | 29.3 | +5.2 | 7 | 41 | Baltimore | 39.0 | 33.8 | +12.3 |
9 | 30.2 | 11/07/10 | Kansas City | 28.8 | 27.3 | +5.9 | 20 | 23 | Las Vegas | 24.7 | 26.9 | +5.5 |
10 | 31.7 | 12/05/10 | Pittsburgh | 33.6 | 29.6 | +6.6 | 13 | 10 | Baltimore | 36.4 | 31.3 | +5.6 |
11 | 31.7 | 11/11/10 | Baltimore | 35.4 | 30.0 | +4.5 | 21 | 26 | Atlanta | 35.1 | 28.3 | +5.3 |
12 | 32.1 | 11/26/23 | Buffalo | 23.4 | 26.4 | +9.5 | 34 | 37 | Philadelphia | 39.1 | 31.4 | +6.1 |
13 | 32.5 | 11/30/14 | Cleveland | 23.7 | 23.4 | +2.1 | 10 | 26 | Buffalo | 28.3 | 27.9 | +2.8 |
14 | 32.6 | 11/05/23 | Tampa Bay | 20.2 | 22.9 | -1.0 | 37 | 39 | Houston | 23.5 | 26.2 | +2.9 |
15 | 32.9 | 11/20/17 | Atlanta | 27.6 | 27.2 | +2.0 | 34 | 31 | Seattle | 27.2 | 26.3 | +5.1 |
16 | 33.1 | 12/20/20 | New England | 25.1 | 24.7 | -0.2 | 12 | 22 | Miami | 28.5 | 27.9 | +6.5 |
17 | 33.1 | 11/19/17 | Baltimore | 22.8 | 24.6 | +2.1 | 23 | 0 | Green Bay | 30.0 | 27.4 | -0.3 |
18 | 33.2 | 11/10/13 | Philadelphia | 22.7 | 24.8 | -0.7 | 27 | 13 | Green Bay | 29.9 | 29.4 | +5.9 |
19 | 33.6 | 11/28/10 | Minnesota | 19.1 | 21.1 | -5.4 | 17 | 13 | Washington | 26.3 | 24.5 | -4.3 |
20 | 34.2 | 11/28/21 | LA Rams | 26.9 | 26.5 | +4.4 | 28 | 36 | Green Bay | 30.4 | 29.1 | +3.0 |
21 | 34.3 | 11/04/18 | LA Chargers | 32.1 | 26.6 | +4.6 | 25 | 17 | Seattle | 31.4 | 30.8 | +5.7 |
22 | 34.4 | 11/30/08 | Carolina | 29.1 | 27.1 | +4.5 | 35 | 31 | Green Bay | 26.6 | 28.3 | +3.9 |
23 | 34.5 | 11/17/19 | Jacksonville | 22.7 | 23.1 | -1.4 | 13 | 33 | Indianapolis | 25.0 | 24.8 | +0.1 |
24 | 34.7 | 11/12/23 | New Orleans | 24.9 | 25.8 | +2.7 | 19 | 27 | Minnesota | 29.7 | 27.9 | +1.8 |
25 | 34.7 | 11/13/11 | Pittsburgh | 28.1 | 27.8 | +3.8 | 24 | 17 | Cincinnati | 34.0 | 29.8 | +6.9 |
26 | 34.9 | 11/21/10 | Indianapolis | 29.7 | 28.7 | +6.1 | 28 | 31 | New England | 35.9 | 30.1 | +4.9 |
27 | 35.1 | 11/23/08 | Philadelphia | 26.7 | 28.1 | +7.1 | 7 | 36 | Baltimore | 34.7 | 30.7 | +4.2 |
28 | 35.1 | 10/29/06 | Baltimore | 30.5 | 29.2 | +6.8 | 35 | 22 | New Orleans | 36.6 | 30.6 | +5.8 |
29 | 35.2 | 11/14/21 | New Orleans | 28.9 | 28.1 | +5.8 | 21 | 23 | Tennessee | 39.4 | 34.0 | +4.9 |
30 | 35.4 | 12/05/04 | Denver | 26.5 | 27.0 | +5.9 | 17 | 20 | LA Chargers | 35.0 | 31.6 | +8.9 |
31 | 35.6 | 11/28/21 | Pittsburgh | 24.1 | 23.5 | -1.2 | 10 | 41 | Cincinnati | 25.8 | 25.9 | +5.2 |
32 | 35.7 | 11/13/14 | Buffalo | 28.7 | 27.3 | +1.0 | 9 | 22 | Miami | 30.6 | 30.7 | +6.2 |
33 | 35.7 | 11/08/18 | Carolina | 33.4 | 30.0 | +5.0 | 21 | 52 | Pittsburgh | 36.9 | 31.9 | +4.9 |
34 | 35.8 | 11/26/23 | Pittsburgh | 30.0 | 26.5 | -2.9 | 16 | 10 | Cincinnati | 26.9 | 26.5 | -2.4 |
35 | 35.8 | 11/20/22 | NY Jets | 33.0 | 29.0 | +2.2 | 3 | 10 | New England | 30.5 | 28.8 | +4.1 |
36 | 36.1 | 11/15/18 | Green Bay | 24.0 | 24.5 | +0.8 | 24 | 27 | Seattle | 26.3 | 27.5 | +3.0 |
37 | 36.1 | 11/22/20 | Detroit | 22.2 | 21.9 | -4.4 | 0 | 20 | Carolina | 21.0 | 24.2 | -3.9 |
38 | 36.2 | 11/08/15 | LA Rams | 29.2 | 27.4 | +1.4 | 18 | 21 | Minnesota | 32.3 | 27.3 | +3.6 |
39 | 36.3 | 12/04/22 | Kansas City | 34.7 | 30.0 | +7.5 | 24 | 27 | Cincinnati | 34.0 | 30.4 | +4.9 |
40 | 36.4 | 12/27/03 | Seattle | 25.2 | 27.0 | +4.7 | 24 | 17 | San Francisco | 29.3 | 29.0 | +3.6 |
41 | 36.6 | 12/12/21 | San Francisco | 25.3 | 26.9 | +2.1 | 26 | 23 | Cincinnati | 25.0 | 25.3 | +5.3 |
42 | 36.8 | 11/23/17 | LA Chargers | 24.0 | 26.8 | +2.5 | 28 | 6 | Dallas | 24.2 | 24.9 | 0.0 |
43 | 36.8 | 01/01/12 | Tennessee | 22.6 | 23.3 | +0.5 | 23 | 22 | Houston | 26.0 | 25.8 | +6.9 |
44 | 36.8 | 11/30/08 | Pittsburgh | 32.9 | 29.9 | +6.9 | 33 | 10 | New England | 30.3 | 29.1 | +4.1 |
45 | 36.9 | 11/12/15 | Buffalo | 23.8 | 25.0 | +2.4 | 22 | 17 | NY Jets | 27.5 | 26.9 | +4.8 |
46 | 37.0 | 11/26/18 | Tennessee | 28.2 | 26.4 | -1.1 | 17 | 34 | Houston | 35.6 | 28.8 | +3.4 |
47 | 37.1 | 11/22/20 | Philadelphia | 18.5 | 21.6 | -3.2 | 17 | 22 | Cleveland | 28.1 | 23.9 | -3.1 |
48 | 37.2 | 12/10/18 | Minnesota | 26.1 | 25.9 | +0.4 | 7 | 21 | Seattle | 31.2 | 29.1 | +5.0 |
49 | 37.4 | 11/19/06 | Minnesota | 20.1 | 22.0 | -1.2 | 20 | 24 | Miami | 26.2 | 26.3 | -2.4 |
50 | 37.4 | 11/09/03 | Miami | 31.2 | 29.9 | +6.4 | 7 | 31 | Tennessee | 40.0 | 33.4 | +7.1 |
51 | 37.5 | 11/25/12 | Atlanta | 32.1 | 28.2 | +7.7 | 24 | 23 | Tampa Bay | 28.0 | 28.5 | +5.7 |
52 | 37.5 | 11/21/19 | Indianapolis | 26.7 | 26.3 | +2.1 | 17 | 20 | Houston | 29.6 | 27.1 | +1.3 |
53 | 37.6 | 11/18/18 | Minnesota | 27.4 | 26.5 | +1.9 | 20 | 25 | Chicago | 27.8 | 28.5 | +10.4 |
54 | 37.6 | 11/06/11 | NY Jets | 25.6 | 25.1 | +2.9 | 27 | 11 | Buffalo | 33.0 | 31.0 | +9.1 |
55 | 37.7 | 10/18/09 | Baltimore | 32.9 | 30.1 | +8.2 | 31 | 33 | Minnesota | 43.6 | 32.9 | +13.2 |
56 | 38.2 | 11/10/13 | Detroit | 29.9 | 28.1 | +2.5 | 21 | 19 | Chicago | 29.6 | 27.6 | +1.8 |
57 | 38.3 | 11/28/10 | Green Bay | 35.0 | 33.2 | +10.6 | 17 | 20 | Atlanta | 37.7 | 30.7 | +6.4 |
58 | 38.3 | 11/12/20 | Indianapolis | 28.3 | 26.9 | +6.0 | 34 | 17 | Tennessee | 31.4 | 27.0 | +3.9 |
59 | 38.3 | 10/22/17 | Atlanta | 28.3 | 26.5 | +2.4 | 7 | 23 | New England | 34.6 | 29.8 | +2.2 |
60 | 38.3 | 11/07/19 | LA Chargers | 25.7 | 26.6 | +1.7 | 24 | 26 | Las Vegas | 27.1 | 25.7 | -4.3 |
61 | 38.3 | 11/23/14 | Cincinnati | 23.9 | 23.7 | +0.3 | 22 | 13 | Houston | 24.8 | 26.2 | +2.5 |
62 | 38.4 | 11/19/23 | Pittsburgh | 29.4 | 25.2 | -2.9 | 10 | 13 | Cleveland | 35.2 | 30.4 | +4.9 |
63 | 38.4 | 11/13/11 | New England | 27.0 | 27.0 | +4.8 | 37 | 16 | NY Jets | 30.3 | 28.9 | +4.5 |
64 | 38.5 | 11/13/16 | Minnesota | 24.0 | 24.8 | +3.6 | 20 | 26 | Washington | 26.8 | 26.3 | -0.4 |
65 | 38.6 | 11/23/08 | New England | 24.4 | 25.3 | +2.5 | 48 | 28 | Miami | 27.1 | 24.7 | +1.2 |
66 | 38.6 | 11/18/10 | Chicago | 23.6 | 25.0 | +3.2 | 16 | 0 | Miami | 30.3 | 27.8 | -2.2 |
67 | 38.6 | 11/22/15 | Dallas | 13.5 | 20.6 | -5.3 | 24 | 14 | Miami | 26.3 | 24.4 | -3.8 |
68 | 38.6 | 11/17/19 | Atlanta | 21.8 | 22.9 | -7.6 | 29 | 3 | Carolina | 28.8 | 26.7 | -0.3 |
69 | 38.7 | 11/16/08 | Dallas | 25.7 | 24.3 | -0.3 | 14 | 10 | Washington | 26.1 | 24.4 | +0.3 |
70 | 38.8 | 11/08/09 | Arizona | 25.7 | 25.3 | +2.0 | 41 | 21 | Chicago | 28.3 | 26.1 | +1.3 |
71 | 38.9 | 12/12/21 | Buffalo | 27.7 | 30.0 | +11.7 | 27 | 33 | Tampa Bay | 33.4 | 30.9 | +8.9 |
72 | 38.9 | 11/29/15 | Miami | 19.2 | 19.8 | -4.4 | 20 | 38 | NY Jets | 22.1 | 23.3 | +2.6 |
73 | 39.0 | 12/13/21 | LA Rams | 26.6 | 26.7 | +5.5 | 30 | 23 | Arizona | 32.8 | 30.3 | +9.9 |
74 | 39.0 | 11/05/18 | Tennessee | 20.4 | 22.1 | -3.0 | 28 | 14 | Dallas | 23.1 | 25.7 | +2.4 |
75 | 39.1 | 11/13/22 | Denver | 17.1 | 21.5 | -1.4 | 10 | 17 | Tennessee | 29.2 | 26.1 | -1.1 |
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