Indianapolis (Away) Jacksonville (Home)
Win Odds 43.6% 56.4%
Spread +2.5 -2.5
Cover Odds 48.3% 51.7%
Proj Score 20.1 22.9

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/06/24 Indianapolis 17.6 22.5 -4.0 43.6% 56.4% Jacksonville 10.6 18.3 -4.0
 
Team Like Indianapolis Team Like Jacksonville
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 17.5 10/09/11 Arizona 15.1 22.0 -0.3 10 34 Minnesota 11.7 18.0 -4.8
2 20.8 10/01/17 Las Vegas 35.5 31.2 +6.0 10 16 Denver 27.7 27.2 +6.0
3 20.9 10/11/15 Jacksonville 16.2 17.9 -11.3 31 38 Tampa Bay 9.2 13.3 -11.3
4 21.1 10/10/10 Philadelphia 19.8 23.7 +4.0 27 24 San Francisco 11.5 18.0 -12.8
5 23.3 10/10/10 Jacksonville 19.9 19.8 -10.0 36 26 Buffalo 9.1 16.3 -16.0
6 24.1 10/10/10 Chicago 24.8 23.4 +0.3 23 6 Carolina 9.2 16.2 -10.3
7 24.4 10/23/05 Tennessee 18.4 22.2 -5.2 10 20 Arizona 8.9 16.4 -8.0
8 25.9 10/08/17 LA Chargers 16.7 24.4 -5.3 27 22 NY Giants 13.5 21.4 -8.8
9 26.1 09/20/18 NY Jets 23.1 25.0 +11.5 17 21 Cleveland 16.1 22.5 -1.5
10 26.1 10/08/17 Green Bay 29.6 27.1 +5.3 35 31 Dallas 21.7 23.5 -0.8
11 26.7 10/08/17 Tennessee 22.9 24.9 -6.5 10 16 Miami 19.3 19.3 -10.7
12 26.9 10/15/17 LA Chargers 20.8 25.0 -3.2 17 16 Las Vegas 23.4 23.7 -0.2
13 27.2 10/01/20 Denver 18.6 21.3 -8.3 37 28 NY Jets 15.2 16.8 -19.0
14 27.2 10/24/10 LA Rams 21.6 23.4 -1.7 17 18 Tampa Bay 19.1 18.0 -6.2
15 27.3 10/09/05 Miami 26.7 25.8 +5.7 14 20 Buffalo 11.9 18.3 -5.3
16 27.3 09/20/15 Detroit 23.9 24.4 -5.0 16 26 Minnesota 17.3 20.1 -17.0
17 27.3 09/26/04 Cleveland 21.5 24.0 +5.0 10 27 NY Giants 17.3 19.6 -4.0
18 27.6 10/24/04 Chicago 20.2 24.9 -2.2 7 19 Tampa Bay 12.8 19.4 -4.5
19 27.7 10/05/14 Cleveland 18.6 23.4 -1.0 29 28 Tennessee 20.4 21.1 -12.5
20 27.9 10/13/19 New Orleans 39.0 30.2 -0.2 13 6 Jacksonville 24.4 26.6 -1.4
21 28.1 10/09/11 Tennessee 31.0 30.8 +8.0 17 38 Pittsburgh 23.8 25.0 -2.0
22 28.2 09/23/12 Jacksonville 7.4 15.9 -11.5 22 17 Indianapolis 11.3 14.1 -8.5
23 28.3 10/16/05 NY Jets 21.2 20.3 -4.8 17 27 Buffalo 14.4 17.3 -3.0
24 28.3 10/03/13 Buffalo 31.8 27.5 -1.3 24 37 Cleveland 26.6 25.3 -1.5
25 28.5 10/11/09 Jacksonville 28.9 31.5 +2.8 0 41 Seattle 20.0 23.7 -2.0
26 28.6 11/05/23 LA Rams 22.3 23.9 -1.1 3 20 Green Bay 15.4 20.1 -2.3
27 29.3 10/26/14 Buffalo 24.7 23.0 -1.0 43 23 NY Jets 12.2 19.6 -9.1
28 29.6 10/06/13 Philadelphia 13.4 20.6 -9.8 36 21 NY Giants 9.2 15.0 -21.3
29 29.7 10/30/22 Washington 26.4 22.6 -4.4 17 16 Indianapolis 23.9 22.9 -3.9
30 29.7 10/03/04 Las Vegas 19.7 23.4 +3.3 17 30 Houston 13.8 18.3 -5.3
31 29.7 10/07/07 Carolina 19.8 21.5 -1.3 16 13 New Orleans 15.6 14.4 -21.7
32 30.1 10/10/04 NY Giants 41.6 33.1 +4.0 26 10 Dallas 34.5 27.8 -2.7
33 30.2 09/25/23 LA Rams 30.5 29.3 +5.0 16 19 Cincinnati 25.0 26.3 -12.0
34 30.4 10/14/18 Tampa Bay 25.1 25.0 -6.8 29 34 Atlanta 18.2 21.5 -6.0
35 30.5 09/17/06 NY Giants 24.3 25.7 -5.0 30 24 Philadelphia 21.5 23.6 +14.0
36 30.7 11/13/11 Denver 24.1 22.9 -6.6 17 10 Kansas City 19.6 20.0 -8.8
37 30.7 10/02/22 Chicago 26.8 23.7 -1.7 12 20 NY Giants 22.7 19.8 -1.0
38 30.8 09/23/18 Cincinnati 34.4 31.2 +11.0 21 31 Carolina 30.6 28.0 +0.5
39 30.8 10/18/20 Washington 11.9 16.0 -10.6 19 20 NY Giants 2.5 15.0 -10.4
40 30.9 10/16/16 Jacksonville 18.6 20.6 -6.8 17 16 Chicago 17.6 20.6 -8.2
41 30.9 10/02/22 NY Jets 21.5 19.4 -9.7 24 20 Pittsburgh 21.4 21.9 -4.0
42 31.1 09/23/07 Minnesota 19.4 24.8 +9.0 10 13 Kansas City 19.9 20.7 -13.5
43 31.2 10/16/22 Jacksonville 22.5 25.3 +6.2 27 34 Indianapolis 23.9 22.3 -5.0
44 31.4 10/21/05 Kansas City 30.6 26.3 +1.4 30 20 Miami 22.7 22.7 -0.6
45 31.4 10/04/20 Jacksonville 20.9 22.9 -4.7 25 33 Cincinnati 6.1 16.6 -2.7
46 31.5 09/21/14 Houston 17.2 23.0 +13.5 17 30 NY Giants 16.4 18.3 -16.0
47 31.6 09/27/04 Dallas 24.7 23.4 -5.5 21 18 Washington 18.7 22.3 0.0
48 31.6 10/15/12 Denver 23.4 26.9 +4.2 35 24 LA Chargers 21.1 23.3 +4.4
49 31.7 11/12/23 Tennessee 25.4 26.1 -1.5 6 20 Tampa Bay 19.1 23.9 -1.1
50 31.8 11/19/06 Washington 21.4 22.8 -5.8 17 20 Tampa Bay 15.6 17.5 -9.4
51 31.8 10/21/13 Minnesota 15.2 19.3 -6.6 7 23 NY Giants 5.0 13.9 -17.7
52 31.9 10/09/05 Chicago 28.8 28.6 +4.3 10 20 Cleveland 26.6 26.6 -6.3
53 32.0 10/03/19 LA Rams 38.4 31.4 +3.3 29 30 Seattle 30.8 27.1 +3.5
54 32.0 09/08/24 Pittsburgh 28.5 26.5 -1.6 18 10 Atlanta 18.7 21.8 -3.4
55 32.0 10/28/12 Las Vegas 19.3 18.8 -9.7 26 16 Kansas City 12.2 15.0 -13.2
56 32.1 09/27/15 Cincinnati 36.5 30.1 +12.5 28 24 Baltimore 25.3 26.3 -5.0
57 32.2 09/11/05 Green Bay 21.8 22.7 +0.6 3 17 Detroit 14.7 20.0 -3.4
58 32.2 10/21/18 Houston 22.6 22.7 -0.3 20 7 Jacksonville 22.9 23.5 -2.8
59 32.5 09/30/18 Cleveland 28.7 27.6 +0.3 42 45 Las Vegas 15.5 20.5 -9.7
60 32.6 10/14/18 Carolina 25.9 23.5 +3.3 17 23 Washington 18.9 22.0 -1.0
61 32.6 09/29/13 Chicago 29.6 24.7 +7.0 32 40 Detroit 14.4 19.6 +4.3
62 32.6 10/01/17 Detroit 31.6 28.9 +7.3 14 7 Minnesota 29.6 27.0 +3.3
63 32.7 09/18/17 Detroit 25.6 23.2 +12.0 24 10 NY Giants 23.1 21.4 -16.0
64 32.7 10/16/22 New England 23.8 25.7 +1.0 38 15 Cleveland 17.1 23.1 +1.6
65 32.9 10/06/22 Indianapolis 19.9 20.2 -7.0 12 9 Denver 18.2 21.0 -0.5
66 32.9 10/22/23 Green Bay 17.8 20.9 0.0 17 19 Denver 12.2 16.9 -11.8
67 33.0 10/05/14 Chicago 26.1 25.1 -2.0 24 31 Carolina 22.2 20.8 -5.8
68 33.0 11/10/13 Buffalo 22.7 22.0 -5.2 10 23 Pittsburgh 17.9 19.7 -6.5
69 33.0 10/28/07 Jacksonville 37.0 30.6 +3.3 24 23 Tampa Bay 31.4 26.8 +2.0
70 33.1 11/20/11 Jacksonville 21.4 23.3 -5.7 10 14 Cleveland 15.8 18.9 -5.8
71 33.2 11/05/17 Baltimore 26.8 27.0 +2.8 20 23 Tennessee 22.8 22.7 -2.1
72 33.2 09/09/18 Tennessee 25.4 24.5 -2.1 20 27 Miami 17.5 20.5 -3.6
73 33.2 10/12/03 Kansas City 42.5 34.3 +14.0 40 34 Green Bay 28.5 30.6 +10.0
74 33.3 10/17/10 Las Vegas 20.0 20.9 -4.6 9 17 San Francisco 7.3 17.5 -10.8
75 33.3 10/09/05 New Orleans 24.6 23.0 -4.8 3 52 Green Bay 11.2 21.7 -5.0