Indianapolis (Away) Houston (Home)
Win Odds 17.6% 82.4%
Spread +4.0 -4.0
Cover Odds 46.7% 53.3%
Proj Score 20.5 26.9

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/27/24 Indianapolis 17.6 22.5 -4.0 17.6% 82.4% Houston 28.3 25.5 +4.0
 
Team Like Indianapolis Team Like Houston
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 16.8 11/01/20 New England 20.6 22.0 -4.7 21 24 Buffalo 30.4 24.7 -0.6
2 21.2 10/27/13 Miami 19.6 22.9 -0.8 17 27 New England 27.7 25.2 +3.6
3 22.6 10/22/06 Detroit 15.8 18.1 -8.3 24 31 NY Jets 23.2 21.9 -5.5
4 23.4 10/23/22 Pittsburgh 22.5 22.7 -8.2 10 16 Miami 31.9 25.8 -4.0
5 23.4 10/30/22 Carolina 14.8 20.2 -3.6 34 37 Atlanta 20.2 23.3 -1.1
6 23.4 10/27/19 Denver 21.4 24.1 -3.4 13 15 Indianapolis 30.9 26.9 +0.8
7 24.1 10/22/17 Baltimore 21.3 23.4 -1.7 16 24 Minnesota 32.7 28.9 +3.2
8 24.3 10/24/10 Cincinnati 17.5 21.7 -0.4 32 39 Atlanta 29.8 26.6 +4.8
9 25.1 10/22/18 NY Giants 13.3 18.8 -7.5 20 23 Atlanta 21.9 22.5 -4.2
10 25.2 10/26/14 Chicago 20.4 22.0 -2.0 23 51 New England 31.6 28.0 +4.7
11 25.3 11/05/23 Tampa Bay 20.2 22.9 -1.0 37 39 Houston 23.5 26.2 +2.9
12 25.3 11/11/07 Minnesota 28.7 27.4 +1.5 0 34 Green Bay 39.4 30.4 +6.5
13 25.4 10/07/18 Las Vegas 21.7 21.7 -6.5 10 26 LA Chargers 32.0 24.7 -2.3
14 25.5 11/15/20 Houston 16.8 19.8 -6.1 7 10 Cleveland 29.9 25.0 -3.9
15 25.6 11/05/18 Tennessee 20.4 22.1 -3.0 28 14 Dallas 23.1 25.7 +2.4
16 25.8 11/06/22 Indianapolis 20.1 21.4 -3.5 3 26 New England 26.8 25.7 +1.8
17 25.9 11/06/22 Carolina 15.9 21.5 -3.5 21 42 Cincinnati 27.3 27.5 +2.8
18 26.3 11/04/07 Denver 25.7 23.5 -9.1 7 44 Detroit 33.3 26.9 -3.1
19 26.6 10/27/16 Jacksonville 18.3 18.1 -7.2 22 36 Tennessee 21.1 20.9 -2.1
20 26.8 10/18/09 Baltimore 32.9 30.1 +8.2 31 33 Minnesota 43.6 32.9 +13.2
21 27.2 10/23/17 Washington 28.2 25.9 +0.8 24 34 Philadelphia 36.5 30.2 +7.2
22 27.2 11/09/03 Buffalo 25.3 23.8 -0.6 6 10 Dallas 30.7 27.1 +5.1
23 27.2 10/05/08 Atlanta 22.9 23.7 +1.8 27 24 Green Bay 24.6 26.5 +2.0
24 27.4 09/27/09 Jacksonville 12.8 19.2 -8.0 31 24 Houston 22.9 21.6 -7.0
25 27.6 11/13/14 Buffalo 28.7 27.3 +1.0 9 22 Miami 30.6 30.7 +6.2
26 27.7 10/14/12 Dallas 22.7 23.6 -5.8 29 31 Baltimore 30.5 27.0 +8.2
27 27.7 10/06/19 Green Bay 25.9 27.5 +4.0 34 24 Dallas 32.7 28.7 +12.8
28 27.8 11/06/11 Denver 16.4 18.5 -9.6 38 24 Las Vegas 25.1 22.5 -2.6
29 27.9 09/27/21 Philadelphia 20.6 24.8 +10.0 21 41 Dallas 29.8 27.9 +0.5
30 28.4 10/06/19 Denver 9.0 20.6 -5.8 20 13 LA Chargers 20.5 22.7 +4.0
31 28.6 10/12/03 San Francisco 19.2 24.8 +3.4 19 20 Seattle 27.0 25.7 +8.5
32 28.7 11/02/03 Washington 22.2 21.0 -5.1 14 21 Dallas 30.7 27.2 +4.9
33 28.8 11/03/13 Pittsburgh 18.6 20.8 -4.0 31 55 New England 29.3 26.1 +4.4
34 29.2 10/23/22 Seattle 17.6 21.3 -2.8 37 23 LA Chargers 23.5 23.6 -1.8
35 29.4 10/29/06 Arizona 9.0 18.0 -6.4 14 31 Green Bay 20.0 21.5 -6.8
36 29.4 10/24/04 Dallas 24.9 22.4 -5.6 20 41 Green Bay 24.2 24.9 -2.5
37 29.4 11/12/17 Cincinnati 18.8 20.8 -3.6 20 24 Tennessee 24.4 23.5 -1.5
38 29.5 11/26/18 Tennessee 28.2 26.4 -1.1 17 34 Houston 35.6 28.8 +3.4
39 29.7 10/26/14 Las Vegas 7.3 17.4 -11.0 13 23 Cleveland 19.4 21.7 +0.2
40 29.8 11/12/23 Green Bay 20.3 23.2 +0.1 19 23 Pittsburgh 29.4 25.9 -3.8
41 29.9 11/02/03 Pittsburgh 17.4 21.7 -6.7 16 23 Seattle 24.6 25.4 +5.6
42 29.9 11/15/20 Denver 20.3 21.3 -5.4 12 37 Las Vegas 32.2 27.0 -1.4
43 30.3 10/30/22 Arizona 21.9 23.9 -2.9 26 34 Minnesota 39.0 28.3 +3.5
44 30.4 10/23/11 Atlanta 30.0 26.3 -2.0 23 16 Detroit 39.7 32.5 +10.7
45 30.5 10/03/21 Pittsburgh 24.7 23.1 -5.3 17 27 Green Bay 31.6 27.2 -5.0
46 30.6 10/19/14 Carolina 25.4 23.5 -2.7 17 38 Green Bay 31.1 29.6 +5.2
47 30.6 11/06/16 NY Jets 18.2 20.2 -7.3 23 27 Miami 23.2 24.2 -1.9
48 30.6 10/27/19 NY Giants 17.7 19.2 -7.9 26 31 Detroit 22.1 24.4 -1.8
49 30.6 10/19/14 Miami 20.8 25.1 -0.8 27 14 Chicago 24.7 24.9 -0.2
50 30.8 11/20/16 Jacksonville 17.6 19.4 -7.2 19 26 Detroit 27.4 24.7 -0.1
51 30.8 11/22/20 Philadelphia 18.5 21.6 -3.2 17 22 Cleveland 28.1 23.9 -3.1
52 30.9 11/04/12 Carolina 16.9 24.7 -5.6 21 13 Washington 22.5 24.4 -1.8
53 31.1 10/24/04 Buffalo 16.4 21.4 -3.0 6 20 Baltimore 24.6 24.7 +3.6
54 31.3 10/12/03 Chicago 14.3 17.3 -16.3 13 20 New Orleans 22.5 20.4 -10.2
55 31.3 11/17/19 Atlanta 21.8 22.9 -7.6 29 3 Carolina 28.8 26.7 -0.3
56 31.4 10/23/22 Indianapolis 25.0 24.1 -3.0 10 19 Tennessee 32.2 26.2 -4.4
57 31.4 11/13/11 Washington 16.5 20.3 -3.9 9 20 Miami 18.4 22.4 -3.9
58 31.5 10/25/18 Miami 22.1 21.6 -3.7 23 42 Houston 26.5 25.6 +1.6
59 31.5 11/04/18 Green Bay 24.6 25.3 +0.3 17 31 New England 35.7 31.2 +6.8
60 31.5 10/31/04 NY Giants 30.7 26.9 +2.8 34 13 Minnesota 39.2 31.5 +7.0
61 31.6 10/08/06 Cleveland 14.9 22.7 -5.0 12 20 Carolina 27.8 25.8 -3.0
62 31.7 10/01/17 LA Rams 18.5 22.6 +10.7 35 30 Dallas 28.1 25.5 +0.7
63 31.7 11/07/10 Miami 28.7 26.7 -2.3 10 26 Baltimore 32.4 27.8 +2.9
64 31.8 11/14/21 New Orleans 28.9 28.1 +5.8 21 23 Tennessee 39.4 34.0 +4.9
65 31.9 11/09/08 Buffalo 22.2 22.7 +1.6 10 20 New England 24.5 24.6 +2.3
66 32.0 11/06/11 NY Jets 25.6 25.1 +2.9 27 11 Buffalo 33.0 31.0 +9.1
67 32.4 10/10/10 NY Giants 19.3 20.9 -4.0 34 10 Houston 27.4 25.1 +1.5
68 32.5 11/02/03 Jacksonville 15.5 19.3 -8.1 17 24 Baltimore 26.2 27.6 +4.0
69 32.5 11/19/06 Cincinnati 20.8 23.4 -0.1 31 16 New Orleans 25.1 24.9 +3.6
70 32.5 10/22/17 Tampa Bay 20.6 22.1 -0.6 27 30 Buffalo 28.4 27.6 +3.0
71 32.5 11/04/07 Carolina 24.6 23.0 -1.6 7 20 Tennessee 33.7 28.7 +4.0
72 32.6 11/27/16 Carolina 23.9 25.1 -0.2 32 35 Las Vegas 35.9 29.1 +2.9
73 32.6 10/24/21 Cincinnati 30.8 29.1 +6.2 41 17 Baltimore 38.9 32.1 +7.8
74 32.6 10/12/08 Jacksonville 21.5 22.8 -2.2 24 17 Denver 30.5 26.7 +3.8
75 32.6 10/19/14 Kansas City 29.8 31.0 +3.6 23 20 LA Chargers 37.8 33.4 +12.2