Miami (Away) Green Bay (Home)
Win Odds 31.5% 68.5%
Spread +3.0 -3.0
Cover Odds 43.9% 56.1%
Proj Score 19.6 25.2

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
11/28/24 Miami 21.5 20.7 -9.0 31.5% 68.5% Green Bay 27.1 26.5 +0.5
 
Team Like Miami Team Like Green Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 27.7 10/17/10 Miami 21.3 21.1 -6.5 23 20 Green Bay 25.2 27.3 +6.0
2 28.3 12/10/18 Minnesota 26.1 25.9 +0.4 7 21 Seattle 31.2 29.1 +5.0
3 28.6 12/11/22 Tampa Bay 21.9 22.6 -0.2 7 35 San Francisco 30.4 29.9 +7.7
4 28.8 11/26/18 Tennessee 28.2 26.4 -1.1 17 34 Houston 35.6 28.8 +3.4
5 29.1 12/06/20 Cleveland 28.0 23.8 -1.9 41 35 Tennessee 32.2 28.6 +3.5
6 29.4 11/28/11 NY Giants 24.7 24.6 0.0 24 49 New Orleans 30.0 27.5 +8.5
7 29.8 12/10/23 Philadelphia 33.9 28.8 +3.4 13 33 Dallas 34.5 32.4 +14.0
8 30.1 12/11/22 Cleveland 24.7 24.9 -0.8 10 23 Cincinnati 35.7 30.1 +4.8
9 30.4 12/15/19 Houston 26.9 25.2 +0.6 24 21 Tennessee 30.7 28.8 +4.8
10 30.5 11/13/14 Buffalo 28.7 27.3 +1.0 9 22 Miami 30.6 30.7 +6.2
11 31.1 12/20/09 Miami 31.4 26.7 -1.1 24 27 Tennessee 32.7 29.5 -2.3
12 31.6 12/05/21 LA Chargers 25.3 23.8 -1.8 41 22 Cincinnati 28.5 28.5 +7.5
13 31.7 12/05/04 Denver 26.5 27.0 +5.9 17 20 LA Chargers 35.0 31.6 +8.9
14 31.8 11/14/21 New Orleans 28.9 28.1 +5.8 21 23 Tennessee 39.4 34.0 +4.9
15 31.8 12/13/15 Washington 19.3 21.0 -2.4 24 21 Chicago 26.5 25.9 -3.3
16 31.9 11/30/03 Arizona 15.7 17.7 -13.3 3 28 Chicago 20.8 24.0 -4.8
17 31.9 11/27/11 Washington 13.1 18.8 -4.5 23 17 Seattle 26.3 25.3 -4.1
18 31.9 11/29/15 Buffalo 26.4 25.5 +1.7 22 30 Kansas City 33.7 33.4 +5.9
19 32.0 11/23/03 Pittsburgh 17.4 21.0 -5.7 13 6 Cleveland 21.8 24.4 +0.2
20 32.2 12/07/08 Dallas 30.1 27.4 +3.3 13 20 Pittsburgh 36.1 32.5 +8.3
21 32.7 12/17/23 NY Jets 18.8 21.3 -4.3 0 30 Miami 25.9 27.8 +9.0
22 32.8 12/09/18 Philadelphia 23.6 24.3 -0.7 23 29 Dallas 31.2 27.6 +2.0
23 32.8 12/19/21 Atlanta 22.9 21.2 -8.3 13 31 San Francisco 27.5 27.4 +2.2
24 32.9 01/07/24 Minnesota 22.1 24.2 -0.5 20 30 Detroit 29.7 29.2 +3.5
25 32.9 12/01/08 Jacksonville 19.0 21.9 -1.5 17 30 Houston 24.3 24.2 -3.7
26 33.0 12/11/22 Carolina 17.9 21.8 -3.0 30 24 Seattle 21.8 23.6 +1.2
27 33.2 12/31/06 Green Bay 22.6 21.7 -5.6 26 7 Chicago 33.9 29.7 +12.7
28 33.2 12/11/11 Philadelphia 19.7 22.1 -0.9 26 10 Miami 25.9 28.1 +2.2
29 33.2 11/19/06 Minnesota 20.1 22.0 -1.2 20 24 Miami 26.2 26.3 -2.4
30 33.3 11/27/22 Green Bay 25.4 24.3 -3.7 33 40 Philadelphia 35.3 29.2 +8.0
31 33.5 11/06/22 Indianapolis 20.1 21.4 -3.5 3 26 New England 26.8 25.7 +1.8
32 33.7 11/17/03 Pittsburgh 19.1 22.0 -4.6 14 30 San Francisco 22.6 26.6 +5.6
33 33.8 11/18/18 Minnesota 27.4 26.5 +1.9 20 25 Chicago 27.8 28.5 +10.4
34 33.9 11/24/03 NY Giants 23.3 22.0 -4.1 13 19 Tampa Bay 24.2 26.6 +4.0
35 34.1 11/18/12 Philadelphia 16.1 18.5 -7.2 6 31 Washington 19.2 22.9 -2.4
36 34.1 12/02/12 Seattle 26.1 26.9 +3.1 23 17 Chicago 32.6 29.5 +9.3
37 34.3 11/27/16 Carolina 23.9 25.1 -0.2 32 35 Las Vegas 35.9 29.1 +2.9
38 34.3 12/11/16 Houston 22.5 22.8 -4.2 22 17 Indianapolis 26.4 25.9 0.0
39 34.5 11/23/14 Cincinnati 23.9 23.7 +0.3 22 13 Houston 24.8 26.2 +2.5
40 34.6 11/06/11 NY Jets 25.6 25.1 +2.9 27 11 Buffalo 33.0 31.0 +9.1
41 35.0 12/16/07 Arizona 21.2 21.8 -1.5 24 31 New Orleans 23.3 24.9 +0.5
42 35.1 10/29/23 Cincinnati 27.3 25.5 -4.5 31 17 San Francisco 33.0 33.4 +13.1
43 35.1 12/06/09 Tampa Bay 14.5 19.8 -12.1 6 16 Carolina 21.2 22.9 -5.2
44 35.1 12/17/17 Green Bay 25.4 24.4 -1.3 24 31 Carolina 36.4 31.2 +2.9
45 35.1 11/09/03 Buffalo 25.3 23.8 -0.6 6 10 Dallas 30.7 27.1 +5.1
46 35.2 11/16/23 Cincinnati 28.4 27.1 -1.1 20 34 Baltimore 34.8 32.7 +11.3
47 35.3 12/07/03 Tampa Bay 21.4 24.2 +3.3 14 7 New Orleans 28.0 25.6 -1.8
48 35.3 12/19/10 NY Jets 28.6 26.9 +2.4 22 17 Pittsburgh 37.6 31.4 +7.1
49 35.3 11/15/18 Green Bay 24.0 24.5 +0.8 24 27 Seattle 26.3 27.5 +3.0
50 35.3 12/13/20 Denver 22.4 21.5 -7.9 32 27 Carolina 21.9 25.1 -1.7
51 35.5 12/10/23 LA Rams 29.6 27.4 +1.3 31 37 Baltimore 34.7 32.8 +11.4
52 35.5 11/15/20 Denver 20.3 21.3 -5.4 12 37 Las Vegas 32.2 27.0 -1.4
53 35.5 12/09/12 Dallas 22.9 23.9 -1.3 20 19 Cincinnati 28.7 29.2 +3.5
54 35.5 12/12/21 Buffalo 27.7 30.0 +11.7 27 33 Tampa Bay 33.4 30.9 +8.9
55 35.6 12/03/06 San Francisco 20.6 20.8 -7.8 10 34 New Orleans 24.5 24.2 +3.2
56 35.6 11/25/21 Las Vegas 20.5 20.5 -3.9 36 33 Dallas 31.2 29.2 +7.9
57 35.6 11/24/16 Washington 29.4 27.5 +2.1 26 31 Dallas 37.6 32.5 +9.8
58 35.6 11/19/23 Arizona 15.7 18.1 -8.7 16 21 Houston 28.1 26.9 +2.8
59 35.6 11/30/14 Cleveland 23.7 23.4 +2.1 10 26 Buffalo 28.3 27.9 +2.8
60 35.7 12/10/23 Carolina 10.3 17.2 -10.2 6 28 New Orleans 19.8 22.7 +0.2
61 35.7 12/09/21 Pittsburgh 24.4 22.2 -3.5 28 36 Minnesota 22.2 24.6 +0.3
62 35.8 11/27/22 Las Vegas 14.5 21.0 -1.7 40 34 Seattle 24.8 25.4 +1.6
63 35.8 11/11/18 Jacksonville 16.9 21.0 -4.5 26 29 Indianapolis 21.2 23.9 +2.3
64 35.8 11/28/21 Pittsburgh 24.1 23.5 -1.2 10 41 Cincinnati 25.8 25.9 +5.2
65 35.9 11/29/20 Chicago 22.9 23.9 -1.8 25 41 Green Bay 28.1 27.7 +5.0
66 35.9 12/09/12 Tennessee 19.6 19.5 -9.3 23 27 Indianapolis 29.7 24.1 -3.4
67 36.0 11/28/10 Tampa Bay 27.5 24.0 +0.3 10 17 Baltimore 34.6 30.9 +5.5
68 36.0 12/15/19 Denver 27.2 26.5 -1.9 3 23 Kansas City 33.4 30.9 +6.9
69 36.0 01/07/23 Tennessee 17.2 20.8 -3.6 16 20 Jacksonville 29.0 28.1 +3.1
70 36.1 12/20/20 Houston 19.4 21.2 -4.9 20 27 Indianapolis 30.6 27.7 +5.5
71 36.1 12/03/23 Carolina 10.7 16.3 -10.8 18 21 Tampa Bay 19.5 23.6 -1.4
72 36.2 12/17/23 NY Giants 21.6 20.5 -10.1 6 24 New Orleans 21.1 23.9 +1.8
73 36.3 12/02/18 Cleveland 23.8 24.8 -2.7 13 29 Houston 37.7 30.7 +4.6
74 36.3 01/01/23 Chicago 13.8 19.6 -6.0 10 41 Detroit 28.3 26.5 -0.6
75 36.4 12/17/22 Indianapolis 19.3 21.0 -6.8 36 39 Minnesota 34.0 27.9 -0.1