Philadelphia (Away) Tampa Bay (Home)
Win Odds 57.3% 42.7%
Spread -3.0 +3.0
Cover Odds 53.2% 46.8%
Proj Score 22.5 19.2

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/29/24 Philadelphia 29.6 25.8 +5.0 57.3% 42.7% Tampa Bay 35.6 30.3 +10.5
 
Team Like Philadelphia Team Like Tampa Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 26.8 09/22/13 NY Giants 17.5 23.0 -11.5 0 38 Carolina 24.1 28.0 -3.0
2 28.0 10/01/15 Baltimore 22.8 25.1 -4.7 23 20 Pittsburgh 35.6 31.6 +8.0
3 29.5 10/01/23 Baltimore 29.5 28.0 +5.3 28 3 Cleveland 34.7 33.2 +13.7
4 30.0 09/14/03 Miami 17.5 23.1 -1.0 21 10 NY Jets 26.1 27.8 -3.0
5 33.3 09/09/07 Denver 24.3 25.1 -4.7 15 14 Buffalo 31.3 30.8 +4.1
6 35.9 09/10/06 Cincinnati 27.7 26.2 -1.6 23 10 Kansas City 31.7 30.9 +10.9
7 36.9 09/10/06 Dallas 25.4 24.9 -4.0 17 24 Jacksonville 28.8 27.1 +3.7
8 37.4 09/22/19 Atlanta 26.0 23.6 -6.0 24 27 Indianapolis 30.4 28.2 -2.0
9 38.4 09/21/14 San Francisco 32.2 30.5 +1.5 14 23 Arizona 37.9 31.2 +6.0
10 38.7 09/16/18 Houston 12.0 18.9 -7.0 17 20 Tennessee 21.0 21.9 -7.0
11 38.7 09/24/12 Green Bay 25.1 25.6 +2.5 12 14 Seattle 36.5 34.2 +8.0
12 39.2 09/28/03 Dallas 20.4 19.1 -5.5 17 6 NY Jets 15.4 22.9 -7.0
13 39.6 09/13/15 Indianapolis 33.7 29.3 -3.0 14 27 Buffalo 31.8 30.3 +6.4
14 39.7 10/21/18 Minnesota 24.6 23.1 -1.3 37 17 NY Jets 24.6 25.9 +4.3
15 39.7 10/30/22 New England 21.2 23.0 +1.3 22 17 NY Jets 32.7 28.3 +3.1
16 40.8 09/17/17 Tennessee 22.3 21.5 -10.0 37 16 Jacksonville 27.5 28.0 +22.0
17 41.0 09/14/08 Indianapolis 22.1 24.1 -16.0 18 15 Minnesota 28.0 30.4 -5.0
18 41.0 09/18/22 New England 21.3 24.1 -13.0 17 14 Pittsburgh 33.5 28.0 +3.0
19 41.0 09/16/12 Las Vegas 15.6 18.2 -8.0 13 35 Miami 20.6 23.0 -20.0
20 41.1 09/27/15 Atlanta 28.2 25.7 +3.0 39 28 Dallas 32.7 29.1 +5.5
21 41.3 09/15/24 Indianapolis 17.2 21.3 -2.0 10 16 Green Bay 26.0 27.0 -5.0
22 41.6 10/23/05 Pittsburgh 30.4 29.2 +8.0 27 13 Cincinnati 39.5 34.7 +11.8
23 41.8 10/16/11 Philadelphia 12.1 21.6 -1.4 20 13 Washington 22.8 23.4 +5.0
24 42.4 10/15/06 Carolina 26.6 25.0 -0.8 23 21 Baltimore 32.4 29.5 +8.6
25 42.4 10/07/18 Minnesota 19.6 20.4 -5.0 23 21 Philadelphia 24.2 24.9 +0.3
26 42.6 09/23/18 New Orleans 29.2 27.1 -2.5 43 37 Atlanta 34.4 30.6 +0.5
27 42.7 09/24/23 Tennessee 20.8 24.3 +1.0 3 27 Cleveland 29.4 28.1 +8.5
28 42.7 09/10/23 Tennessee 16.6 21.7 -9.9 15 16 New Orleans 26.0 26.6 +1.4
29 42.8 09/24/06 Cincinnati 33.0 31.4 +15.0 28 20 Pittsburgh 38.1 32.9 +1.0
30 42.9 09/24/06 NY Giants 26.5 26.4 +0.5 30 42 Seattle 34.7 29.5 +7.0
31 43.2 09/18/16 Green Bay 28.4 26.9 +4.0 14 17 Minnesota 30.9 28.7 +9.0
32 44.6 10/27/19 Philadelphia 18.5 21.1 -2.1 31 13 Buffalo 29.2 25.9 +5.0
33 44.6 10/23/11 Atlanta 30.0 26.3 -2.0 23 16 Detroit 39.7 32.5 +10.7
34 44.7 09/20/09 Seattle 24.1 27.0 +28.0 10 23 San Francisco 34.5 29.0 +4.0
35 44.8 10/03/16 NY Giants 27.6 23.8 +0.7 10 24 Minnesota 41.1 33.2 +8.0
36 44.8 09/09/12 Buffalo 19.4 21.6 -10.4 28 48 NY Jets 25.1 26.2 -0.1
37 44.9 10/16/22 Minnesota 32.9 24.3 +2.6 24 16 Miami 31.6 28.7 -3.2
38 45.0 11/09/09 Pittsburgh 33.7 29.1 +5.4 28 10 Denver 39.2 32.6 +6.3
39 45.2 09/25/05 Atlanta 27.0 26.2 +0.5 24 16 Buffalo 28.6 28.1 -0.5
40 45.4 09/23/12 NY Jets 23.4 24.9 +1.5 23 20 Miami 23.9 26.1 +1.0
41 45.5 10/04/09 Tennessee 9.2 22.2 -4.3 17 37 Jacksonville 20.9 22.5 -3.0
42 45.7 10/03/04 Cincinnati 12.5 15.6 -6.0 17 28 Pittsburgh 21.7 22.0 -1.3
43 45.8 09/12/21 Denver 21.3 22.0 -7.9 27 13 NY Giants 22.8 23.6 -3.7
44 45.9 10/01/17 LA Rams 18.5 22.6 +10.7 35 30 Dallas 28.1 25.5 +0.7
45 45.9 10/15/17 LA Rams 18.3 21.8 +6.2 27 17 Jacksonville 30.5 31.5 +11.2
46 45.9 10/02/05 Minnesota 23.8 23.9 -7.7 10 30 Atlanta 32.2 29.1 +3.0
47 46.1 10/02/22 LA Chargers 10.1 17.7 -8.7 34 24 Houston 13.2 19.9 -3.3
48 46.2 01/15/24 Philadelphia 21.4 21.7 +0.3 9 32 Tampa Bay 27.0 26.9 +1.4
49 46.3 09/21/08 Pittsburgh 29.7 28.2 +12.5 6 15 Philadelphia 34.2 33.3 +15.5
50 46.4 10/03/21 Pittsburgh 24.7 23.1 -5.3 17 27 Green Bay 31.6 27.2 -5.0
51 46.4 09/28/14 Green Bay 20.9 21.2 -8.3 38 17 Chicago 32.7 29.3 +4.3
52 46.4 09/25/22 Baltimore 26.2 26.7 +5.5 37 26 New England 29.8 26.9 -5.0
53 46.4 09/11/11 Detroit 31.5 28.6 -2.9 27 20 Tampa Bay 29.4 28.0 +5.9
54 46.5 09/12/10 Miami 24.7 24.7 -3.0 15 10 Buffalo 26.1 26.1 +0.3
55 46.6 09/19/10 New England 32.1 30.2 +14.0 14 28 NY Jets 28.2 29.1 -1.0
56 46.7 10/04/20 Cleveland 20.7 20.4 -4.3 49 38 Dallas 24.8 25.7 -3.0
57 46.8 09/07/03 LA Rams 23.6 22.2 -7.3 13 23 NY Giants 31.1 28.8 +7.1
58 47.2 09/28/15 Kansas City 29.9 28.1 0.0 28 38 Green Bay 35.8 31.4 +9.0
59 47.2 10/18/15 Miami 12.5 16.4 -9.0 38 10 Tennessee 14.9 21.2 +2.8
60 47.3 10/10/10 NY Giants 19.3 20.9 -4.0 34 10 Houston 27.4 25.1 +1.5
61 47.3 10/24/21 Kansas City 28.8 27.8 +1.5 3 27 Tennessee 29.2 28.4 +0.8
62 47.3 11/03/19 Cleveland 23.2 23.3 -6.9 19 24 Denver 22.0 24.5 -3.3
63 47.7 10/07/07 LA Chargers 18.0 20.9 -8.5 41 3 Denver 23.5 20.2 -5.8
64 47.7 10/01/23 New England 26.3 26.9 -2.3 3 38 Dallas 26.8 29.2 +16.0
65 47.8 09/25/22 Las Vegas 15.6 19.6 -5.5 22 24 Tennessee 18.8 21.1 -17.5
66 47.8 09/27/09 Chicago 23.8 23.3 -1.5 25 19 Seattle 23.1 26.9 +7.5
67 47.8 10/02/05 Seattle 29.5 25.2 +5.3 17 20 Washington 41.7 29.3 +1.5
68 47.8 10/04/09 Dallas 23.5 26.1 +8.3 10 17 Denver 47.4 35.5 +15.3
69 47.9 10/06/16 Arizona 20.5 21.9 +3.0 33 21 San Francisco 22.2 21.2 -4.3
70 48.1 11/11/07 Denver 21.5 19.6 -12.6 27 11 Kansas City 25.2 22.9 -2.8
71 48.1 10/24/10 Cincinnati 17.5 21.7 -0.4 32 39 Atlanta 29.8 26.6 +4.8
72 48.2 09/13/15 Kansas City 28.7 28.0 +0.9 27 20 Houston 27.6 27.9 +8.0
73 48.3 10/06/13 Kansas City 31.1 29.4 +15.3 26 17 Tennessee 32.8 29.1 +7.3
74 48.3 10/16/16 Carolina 16.0 22.0 -2.4 38 41 New Orleans 25.2 25.0 -4.0
75 48.4 10/02/16 Tennessee 16.9 19.6 -5.0 20 27 Houston 31.4 26.1 -3.7