Atlanta (Away) Carolina (Home)
Win Odds 58.7% 41.3%
Spread -3.5 +3.5
Cover Odds 48.2% 51.8%
Proj Score 22.6 19.7

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/13/24 Atlanta 16.9 21.2 -8.0 58.7% 41.3% Carolina 6.2 11.8 -30.0
 
Team Like Atlanta Team Like Carolina
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 29.8 10/29/23 NY Jets 27.7 25.9 -1.0 13 10 NY Giants 16.4 17.7 -12.7
2 31.0 10/08/20 Tampa Bay 32.9 30.8 +7.0 19 20 Chicago 21.5 22.2 +1.0
3 32.2 10/15/23 Minnesota 18.9 23.7 -2.4 19 13 Chicago 10.0 16.3 -8.4
4 32.2 10/22/06 Arizona 13.1 20.2 -5.3 9 22 Las Vegas 0.5 12.7 -15.2
5 32.6 09/26/10 Washington 18.3 21.5 +1.5 16 30 LA Rams 3.0 13.1 -3.0
6 32.8 10/19/03 Baltimore 24.4 24.7 +3.2 26 34 Cincinnati 13.1 19.1 -5.8
7 33.1 10/18/10 Tennessee 30.4 31.1 +7.4 30 3 Jacksonville 25.5 22.9 -6.0
8 33.5 10/14/07 Philadelphia 24.7 26.5 +2.8 16 9 NY Jets 12.0 19.2 -8.4
9 33.7 10/25/09 LA Chargers 26.3 25.7 -2.4 37 7 Kansas City 8.7 16.2 -7.7
10 34.2 09/30/18 Seattle 17.3 21.9 +0.3 20 17 Arizona 4.7 14.4 -18.0
11 35.3 09/14/03 Denver 28.9 30.3 +20.0 37 13 LA Chargers 17.5 21.7 -13.0
12 35.3 10/14/18 Jacksonville 27.7 27.4 +3.2 7 40 Dallas 17.3 21.0 -2.6
13 35.4 10/09/05 Philadelphia 38.1 31.4 +11.0 10 33 Dallas 27.7 25.2 0.0
14 35.4 10/18/09 Carolina 12.0 15.4 -11.8 28 21 Tampa Bay -2.8 10.0 -14.4
15 35.9 10/09/05 Carolina 19.4 23.5 +1.8 24 20 Arizona 11.7 14.7 -9.0
16 36.2 09/24/06 Carolina 27.3 27.4 -8.5 26 24 Tampa Bay 20.2 21.0 -19.0
17 36.7 10/01/17 Jacksonville 28.1 30.7 +12.7 20 23 NY Jets 20.8 21.3 -6.7
18 36.8 10/01/23 Denver 8.4 15.8 -17.7 31 28 Chicago 1.0 7.8 -19.7
19 37.0 10/23/05 Green Bay 15.2 24.2 +5.8 20 23 Minnesota 12.9 16.2 -13.6
20 37.9 10/26/14 Houston 21.7 24.4 +0.7 30 16 Tennessee 15.5 19.7 -7.3
21 38.1 10/15/17 Tampa Bay 21.4 22.8 +0.5 33 38 Arizona 9.6 13.7 -8.8
22 38.1 11/06/22 Minnesota 38.8 29.4 +4.1 20 17 Washington 27.2 22.9 -3.8
23 38.2 10/20/13 New England 32.6 27.0 +4.7 27 30 NY Jets 15.1 17.2 -5.2
24 38.5 10/07/18 Tennessee 33.2 26.5 +0.5 12 13 Buffalo 21.4 19.5 -14.0
25 38.6 11/02/08 Atlanta 28.9 26.9 -0.1 24 0 Las Vegas 14.6 16.8 -10.0
26 38.8 09/13/15 Miami 23.9 24.5 -5.9 17 10 Washington 12.9 16.6 -15.0
27 38.9 10/16/05 LA Chargers 31.5 34.1 +7.4 27 14 Las Vegas 23.1 24.6 -3.3
28 38.9 11/18/12 Cincinnati 22.0 24.8 -1.2 28 6 Kansas City 8.2 15.0 -12.2
29 38.9 10/17/21 Cincinnati 27.2 25.8 +2.8 34 11 Detroit 10.6 19.7 -8.0
30 39.0 10/22/06 Philadelphia 32.6 31.9 +9.2 21 23 Tampa Bay 21.7 22.2 -8.4
31 39.0 10/12/03 Baltimore 20.9 24.6 +2.0 26 18 Arizona 12.6 14.4 -18.0
32 39.2 10/28/18 Indianapolis 20.6 24.0 +0.6 42 28 Las Vegas 15.6 17.6 -11.0
33 39.3 10/01/23 Cincinnati 28.5 27.5 -7.0 3 27 Tennessee 18.2 21.9 -7.3
34 39.3 10/12/03 Tampa Bay 38.3 34.5 +8.0 35 13 Washington 26.9 24.8 +0.6
35 39.4 09/23/12 Detroit 26.1 25.0 -2.0 41 44 Tennessee 14.7 15.8 -24.5
36 39.5 09/18/16 Baltimore 26.2 24.9 +6.0 25 20 Cleveland 11.4 15.1 -19.0
37 39.5 10/20/19 Jacksonville 24.7 26.2 -2.3 27 17 Cincinnati 8.4 18.0 -10.3
38 39.7 10/22/23 Washington 18.1 18.4 -7.2 7 14 NY Giants 13.1 17.1 -16.0
39 39.9 10/08/23 Baltimore 36.9 34.5 +10.3 10 17 Pittsburgh 26.5 22.0 -9.5
40 40.0 09/11/11 Philadelphia 26.5 27.2 -0.1 31 13 LA Rams 17.3 19.4 -5.0
41 40.0 11/10/19 NY Giants 10.7 16.4 -8.8 27 34 NY Jets 6.1 11.9 -14.4
42 40.4 10/14/18 Baltimore 34.6 31.7 +11.0 21 0 Tennessee 29.3 25.1 +0.2
43 40.5 09/21/14 Dallas 24.6 26.3 +2.5 34 31 LA Rams 18.4 17.6 -13.0
44 40.7 11/04/12 Baltimore 28.2 24.5 +1.9 25 15 Cleveland 18.1 20.3 -4.0
45 40.7 10/24/21 Carolina 20.9 24.9 +3.7 3 25 NY Giants 13.2 16.1 -10.5
46 40.7 11/13/22 Dallas 37.1 31.7 +6.3 28 31 Green Bay 22.1 22.7 -3.8
47 40.8 10/26/14 Miami 26.9 27.2 +1.5 27 13 Jacksonville 13.8 18.8 -12.3
48 40.8 09/27/15 Indianapolis 27.8 26.1 -13.0 35 33 Tennessee 16.3 20.2 +7.0
49 41.1 09/29/03 Green Bay 12.9 21.8 +4.3 38 23 Chicago -2.0 10.0 -26.5
50 41.4 11/04/12 Detroit 25.8 24.4 -1.9 31 14 Jacksonville 14.6 17.8 -12.1
51 41.5 10/01/17 Tennessee 33.0 31.5 +5.7 14 57 Houston 20.1 23.7 -7.0
52 41.8 09/19/19 Tennessee 27.3 30.3 +14.0 7 20 Jacksonville 14.3 21.9 -7.5
53 41.8 09/23/07 Carolina 22.6 23.7 +0.5 27 20 Atlanta 10.2 17.4 -13.5
54 41.9 10/22/17 Tennessee 23.4 23.9 -3.0 12 9 Cleveland 2.5 13.9 -10.5
55 42.0 10/04/15 Philadelphia 33.3 30.7 -1.7 20 23 Washington 15.3 20.7 -1.3
56 42.2 10/07/12 Chicago 35.6 32.7 +10.0 41 3 Jacksonville 26.1 22.1 -8.8
57 42.3 10/16/16 Philadelphia 31.7 35.1 +16.0 20 27 Washington 31.0 26.1 -1.4
58 42.3 10/22/06 New England 32.6 28.8 +6.8 28 6 Buffalo 18.8 21.1 -5.2
59 42.3 09/19/04 Washington 18.2 20.8 +6.0 14 20 NY Giants 9.1 14.4 -14.0
60 42.4 12/17/23 Atlanta 20.5 22.4 -1.4 7 9 Carolina 10.0 16.3 -11.1
61 42.4 10/03/04 New Orleans 27.8 22.7 -2.7 10 34 Arizona 14.9 19.8 -7.0
62 42.5 10/12/03 Buffalo 27.3 26.7 +7.6 3 30 NY Jets 12.6 19.2 -8.0
63 42.6 11/11/13 Miami 22.4 22.8 -1.6 19 22 Tampa Bay 10.5 20.1 -8.3
64 42.6 10/16/22 Baltimore 34.0 33.0 +4.2 20 24 NY Giants 35.1 25.6 +2.0
65 42.7 10/09/11 Cincinnati 25.4 26.0 +1.5 30 20 Jacksonville 20.0 20.7 -11.5
66 42.7 09/18/22 Tampa Bay 36.6 34.1 +16.0 20 10 New Orleans 27.8 24.7 +1.0
67 43.0 10/09/05 Tampa Bay 33.6 28.0 +8.0 12 14 NY Jets 16.5 19.0 -6.5
68 43.0 10/25/09 NY Jets 25.2 27.8 +1.7 38 0 Las Vegas 18.0 17.9 -12.8
69 43.1 11/09/20 New England 19.4 22.0 -4.4 30 27 NY Jets 4.9 11.0 -18.0
70 43.2 10/03/21 Washington 14.8 18.4 -8.3 34 30 Atlanta 9.8 13.9 -15.3
71 43.2 10/17/21 Kansas City 30.2 29.5 -1.8 31 13 Washington 21.0 20.7 -6.4
72 43.2 10/23/11 Denver 19.3 21.2 -7.0 18 15 Miami 6.9 16.1 -10.6
73 43.4 11/06/16 Pittsburgh 28.4 27.8 +2.9 14 21 Baltimore 18.6 21.5 -0.9
74 43.4 10/08/06 Kansas City 24.6 27.2 +8.3 23 20 Arizona 15.1 15.9 -7.0
75 43.4 11/05/23 Indianapolis 20.4 23.1 -3.0 27 13 Carolina 17.2 19.0 -10.3