Tennessee (Away) Miami (Home)
Win Odds 32.3% 67.7%
Spread +6.5 -6.5
Cover Odds 51.0% 49.0%
Proj Score 20.2 25.8

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/30/24 Tennessee 9.5 17.1 -7.0 32.3% 67.7% Miami 21.5 20.7 -9.0
 
Team Like Tennessee Team Like Miami
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 23.2 09/25/16 Chicago 14.8 18.4 -12.0 17 31 Dallas 18.6 21.5 +1.5
2 23.3 09/25/05 Arizona 12.6 16.4 -14.0 12 37 Seattle 23.0 21.4 -4.5
3 25.2 09/30/19 Cincinnati 15.5 22.1 -9.7 3 27 Pittsburgh 21.1 25.4 -12.0
4 25.2 10/10/10 Tampa Bay 28.9 24.7 -3.0 24 21 Cincinnati 34.7 31.2 +0.3
5 25.9 09/24/06 NY Jets 18.6 20.9 0.0 28 20 Buffalo 25.3 27.0 +4.0
6 26.1 09/29/19 Carolina 21.2 26.9 +3.0 16 10 Houston 35.5 29.9 +2.0
7 26.2 10/24/10 Las Vegas 17.4 20.7 -5.2 59 14 Denver 28.5 27.3 -2.7
8 26.3 10/02/05 Minnesota 23.8 23.9 -7.7 10 30 Atlanta 32.2 29.1 +3.0
9 26.6 10/01/06 Arizona 21.7 21.8 -2.0 10 32 Atlanta 27.0 25.5 +1.7
10 27.1 10/14/07 Houston 24.0 24.2 +3.4 17 37 Jacksonville 36.1 29.7 +5.5
11 27.5 09/12/19 Tampa Bay 9.2 16.4 -14.0 20 14 Carolina 19.4 24.3 -3.0
12 27.7 10/03/05 Green Bay 10.3 19.5 -5.7 29 32 Carolina 21.5 25.9 +1.3
13 28.0 10/12/03 Chicago 14.3 17.3 -16.3 13 20 New Orleans 22.5 20.4 -10.2
14 28.8 10/19/14 Minnesota 14.6 17.4 -6.5 16 17 Buffalo 26.1 25.6 -1.3
15 28.8 10/18/04 Tampa Bay 13.9 19.7 -4.0 21 28 LA Rams 22.1 24.5 +0.6
16 29.1 09/28/03 Cincinnati 17.0 23.8 -10.0 21 14 Cleveland 25.9 25.7 -7.3
17 29.1 09/23/07 Miami 14.6 20.6 -10.0 28 31 NY Jets 22.6 24.1 -15.5
18 29.2 09/28/08 Houston 16.3 17.1 -20.0 27 30 Jacksonville 28.2 26.9 -3.0
19 29.3 09/10/23 LA Rams 15.8 21.2 -2.6 30 13 Seattle 21.8 23.6 -3.1
20 29.5 09/29/16 Miami 21.7 24.6 -1.0 7 22 Cincinnati 28.3 26.0 -6.3
21 29.5 09/16/18 Las Vegas 13.3 16.7 -20.0 19 20 Denver 23.7 23.7 +3.0
22 29.6 10/11/20 Philadelphia 16.2 20.2 -5.8 29 38 Pittsburgh 26.2 23.8 +7.3
23 29.7 10/02/22 Tennessee 13.5 16.5 -11.0 24 17 Indianapolis 20.5 22.4 -7.0
24 29.7 10/17/04 Miami 7.8 15.5 -9.0 13 20 Buffalo 16.7 21.8 -5.5
25 29.9 10/22/06 Minnesota 26.9 25.0 +1.4 31 13 Seattle 39.9 28.6 -0.6
26 29.9 09/19/11 LA Rams 10.6 14.7 -18.0 16 28 NY Giants 22.4 21.4 -14.0
27 30.0 10/08/06 Cleveland 14.9 22.7 -5.0 12 20 Carolina 27.8 25.8 -3.0
28 30.1 09/24/23 Carolina 22.4 22.2 -8.5 27 37 Seattle 28.0 25.4 -5.5
29 30.2 09/27/20 Washington 17.3 18.9 -2.5 20 34 Cleveland 22.6 22.7 -13.5
30 30.3 09/23/18 NY Giants 11.7 18.7 -6.0 27 22 Houston 12.9 19.9 -5.0
31 30.4 10/02/14 Minnesota 17.4 20.9 +1.8 10 42 Green Bay 29.9 26.8 -1.0
32 30.5 09/15/13 Tennessee 25.2 23.3 +7.0 24 30 Houston 30.8 25.6 +3.0
33 30.6 09/22/19 NY Giants 13.1 16.2 -16.0 32 31 Tampa Bay 19.9 23.1 -4.0
34 30.6 10/02/11 Carolina 19.4 21.2 -2.7 29 34 Chicago 28.2 26.4 -3.0
35 30.6 10/29/06 Arizona 9.0 18.0 -6.4 14 31 Green Bay 20.0 21.5 -6.8
36 30.9 09/24/23 Denver 12.1 20.2 -1.5 20 70 Miami 26.3 27.1 +4.5
37 30.9 09/21/03 Jacksonville 18.8 23.3 -11.0 13 23 Indianapolis 33.8 29.1 +14.5
38 30.9 09/10/17 Jacksonville 17.8 22.9 -2.4 29 7 Houston 27.2 25.1 -1.7
39 31.3 09/21/08 Kansas City 4.2 14.8 -11.0 14 38 Atlanta 16.1 18.8 -1.0
40 31.7 10/20/13 Buffalo 19.0 20.6 -3.5 23 21 Miami 27.4 25.8 -0.6
41 31.8 09/22/19 Cincinnati 14.1 20.3 -12.5 17 21 Buffalo 25.8 22.9 +7.5
42 31.9 10/06/19 Denver 9.0 20.6 -5.8 20 13 LA Chargers 20.5 22.7 +4.0
43 32.2 09/27/09 Jacksonville 12.8 19.2 -8.0 31 24 Houston 22.9 21.6 -7.0
44 32.4 10/02/22 NY Jets 21.5 19.4 -9.7 24 20 Pittsburgh 21.4 21.9 -4.0
45 32.5 10/02/05 Detroit 15.9 20.7 -9.0 13 17 Tampa Bay 34.4 30.3 +9.3
46 32.7 10/16/17 Indianapolis 11.6 15.4 -12.4 22 36 Tennessee 21.3 22.8 -6.4
47 32.8 09/26/21 Chicago 20.3 20.6 -8.5 6 26 Cleveland 26.5 26.6 +3.0
48 32.9 10/07/18 NY Giants 17.4 20.6 -5.5 31 33 Carolina 30.7 29.0 +3.7
49 33.2 09/21/03 NY Jets 22.2 25.7 -7.0 16 23 New England 29.8 28.5 -5.0
50 33.3 10/14/07 Carolina 19.5 20.0 -0.4 25 10 Arizona 25.5 24.7 +1.4
51 33.3 10/23/22 Atlanta 21.2 24.8 +1.7 17 35 Cincinnati 32.9 30.4 +3.8
52 33.5 10/11/09 Houston 21.2 25.8 +0.5 21 28 Arizona 32.6 31.6 -3.7
53 33.6 09/16/13 Pittsburgh 14.3 19.3 -7.0 10 20 Cincinnati 26.0 26.5 -3.0
54 33.6 10/02/05 LA Chargers 25.6 28.3 +5.0 41 17 New England 33.0 32.2 +1.0
55 33.7 09/13/20 NY Jets 23.5 22.7 +3.6 17 27 Buffalo 23.5 25.4 +1.6
56 33.7 09/27/20 Dallas 25.6 26.1 -1.0 31 38 Seattle 34.9 30.8 +9.0
57 33.7 09/14/17 Houston 16.2 17.4 -22.0 13 9 Cincinnati 18.2 21.2 -20.0
58 33.8 09/14/14 LA Rams 17.9 19.0 -28.0 19 17 Tampa Bay 21.3 21.8 -6.0
59 33.8 10/01/06 Detroit 15.3 18.7 -12.3 34 41 LA Rams 26.2 23.6 +1.0
60 33.9 09/24/23 Tennessee 20.8 24.3 +1.0 3 27 Cleveland 29.4 28.1 +8.5
61 33.9 09/27/15 San Francisco 24.0 23.7 -4.0 7 47 Arizona 26.8 26.6 +18.5
62 34.0 09/09/12 Indianapolis 14.3 19.0 -4.6 21 41 Chicago 22.2 23.1 -5.4
63 34.1 09/25/11 Denver 18.0 20.5 -0.5 14 17 Tennessee 24.7 26.6 +5.5
64 34.1 09/15/13 Minnesota 23.9 23.9 -10.0 30 31 Chicago 31.8 28.2 +3.0
65 34.3 10/27/19 Denver 21.4 24.1 -3.4 13 15 Indianapolis 30.9 26.9 +0.8
66 34.6 10/22/06 Detroit 15.8 18.1 -8.3 24 31 NY Jets 23.2 21.9 -5.5
67 34.7 10/09/16 NY Giants 26.6 23.1 -3.0 16 23 Green Bay 27.6 27.8 +2.7
68 34.7 10/09/22 Chicago 22.5 20.2 -3.3 22 29 Minnesota 35.2 26.6 +1.5
69 35.0 10/23/22 Pittsburgh 22.5 22.7 -8.2 10 16 Miami 31.9 25.8 -4.0
70 35.0 10/01/17 San Francisco 3.8 16.5 -8.3 15 18 Arizona 16.6 18.1 -6.7
71 35.1 09/17/17 Chicago 13.4 20.9 -6.0 7 29 Tampa Bay 28.2 27.2 +1.6
72 35.1 10/16/16 Cincinnati 19.4 21.6 -3.6 17 35 New England 28.4 27.0 +8.0
73 35.1 09/24/06 Green Bay 12.5 16.9 -16.5 31 24 Detroit 16.4 19.8 -15.0
74 35.1 10/07/18 Las Vegas 21.7 21.7 -6.5 10 26 LA Chargers 32.0 24.7 -2.3
75 35.2 10/01/17 LA Rams 18.5 22.6 +10.7 35 30 Dallas 28.1 25.5 +0.7