Minnesota (Away) Green Bay (Home)
Win Odds 40.0% 60.0%
Spread +5.0 -5.0
Cover Odds 50.3% 49.7%
Proj Score 20.4 24.3

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our sytem as stale or suspect. This Similar Games analysis uses the previously available spread.

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/29/24 Minnesota 32.2 30.2 +14.0 40.0% 60.0% Green Bay 27.1 26.5 +0.5
 
Team Like Minnesota Team Like Green Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 24.4 09/14/08 Buffalo 32.2 30.5 +24.0 20 16 Jacksonville 26.2 26.8 -7.0
2 25.1 09/19/10 Seattle 22.4 24.2 +25.0 14 31 Denver 15.6 20.4 -7.0
3 29.1 10/03/21 Carolina 40.9 35.4 +13.0 28 36 Dallas 34.5 31.2 +7.0
4 29.1 09/30/18 Cincinnati 33.3 31.1 +4.0 37 36 Atlanta 28.5 28.0 -1.7
5 29.7 10/05/14 Houston 29.3 26.7 +5.0 17 20 Dallas 29.7 27.0 +7.3
6 30.1 10/03/04 NY Giants 31.5 28.8 +3.0 14 7 Green Bay 27.1 27.6 -5.0
7 30.5 10/03/04 Atlanta 30.5 24.7 +7.3 27 10 Carolina 23.5 25.4 +0.5
8 32.0 09/30/18 NY Jets 23.6 26.6 +6.3 12 31 Jacksonville 22.1 23.7 +4.3
9 32.1 10/11/20 Carolina 24.9 25.8 -0.8 23 16 Atlanta 15.0 21.3 -8.0
10 32.2 09/26/04 Chicago 31.4 29.6 +3.5 22 27 Minnesota 27.5 28.2 +3.5
11 32.5 09/22/22 Pittsburgh 26.3 25.3 0.0 17 29 Cleveland 16.5 20.5 +0.5
12 32.9 09/16/07 San Francisco 26.6 23.1 +3.0 17 16 LA Rams 17.7 19.6 -14.0
13 33.1 09/26/16 Atlanta 19.9 21.6 0.0 45 32 New Orleans 14.2 20.8 -2.0
14 33.2 10/16/22 New England 23.8 25.7 +1.0 38 15 Cleveland 17.1 23.1 +1.6
15 33.7 09/19/21 Cincinnati 21.0 20.6 +3.0 17 20 Chicago 12.7 18.1 -20.0
16 33.8 09/22/19 Detroit 32.0 27.9 +1.5 27 24 Philadelphia 24.6 23.6 +0.5
17 33.9 09/30/13 Miami 48.6 34.2 +7.0 17 38 New Orleans 34.6 29.3 +10.7
18 34.1 09/28/14 Tennessee 21.7 21.8 -8.7 17 41 Indianapolis 17.8 21.5 +5.7
19 34.4 09/24/23 Atlanta 32.5 27.8 +7.5 6 20 Detroit 28.0 25.5 -2.5
20 34.9 09/27/09 Atlanta 34.6 28.2 +10.0 10 26 New England 30.6 28.4 -3.0
21 34.9 09/25/14 NY Giants 22.7 23.1 -6.3 45 14 Washington 13.5 20.9 +5.7
22 35.0 10/01/17 Detroit 31.6 28.9 +7.3 14 7 Minnesota 29.6 27.0 +3.3
23 35.5 09/13/09 Chicago 22.9 24.5 -2.6 15 21 Green Bay 17.5 23.8 +1.1
24 35.7 09/22/13 LA Rams 25.6 25.2 -2.0 7 31 Dallas 20.2 23.8 +2.0
25 36.0 10/10/10 Kansas City 42.4 33.4 +10.0 9 19 Indianapolis 26.5 27.6 +6.3
26 36.2 09/23/18 Cincinnati 34.4 31.2 +11.0 21 31 Carolina 30.6 28.0 +0.5
27 36.4 09/23/07 Detroit 25.0 25.8 +9.0 21 56 Philadelphia 18.3 22.0 -5.5
28 36.4 10/05/14 Baltimore 37.6 33.3 +10.8 13 20 Indianapolis 26.4 29.5 +10.3
29 36.6 09/18/22 Chicago 30.1 27.2 +9.0 10 27 Green Bay 25.0 24.5 -16.0
30 36.8 10/09/16 Chicago 17.9 19.6 -8.8 23 29 Indianapolis 5.3 18.1 -4.3
31 37.0 10/31/21 Pittsburgh 29.4 26.7 -2.5 15 10 Cleveland 28.8 25.9 +1.1
32 37.7 09/12/04 Dallas 25.2 24.6 -3.3 17 35 Minnesota 21.2 25.4 +2.4
33 37.8 09/19/22 Minnesota 36.0 32.1 +16.0 7 24 Philadelphia 31.5 26.5 +3.0
34 38.2 10/07/18 Green Bay 22.3 23.5 +2.3 23 31 Detroit 16.8 22.5 -5.0
35 38.6 09/11/05 New Orleans 26.2 25.7 -0.1 23 20 Carolina 24.4 26.8 +9.6
36 38.9 10/01/23 Las Vegas 17.4 19.1 -10.7 17 24 LA Chargers 17.9 24.7 -0.3
37 39.2 09/30/12 Minnesota 24.2 24.3 +3.7 20 13 Detroit 14.1 17.5 -2.3
38 39.2 10/16/05 NY Jets 21.2 20.3 -4.8 17 27 Buffalo 14.4 17.3 -3.0
39 39.3 10/03/19 LA Rams 38.4 31.4 +3.3 29 30 Seattle 30.8 27.1 +3.5
40 39.4 09/28/03 New England 26.5 26.9 -1.0 17 20 Washington 22.3 22.4 +0.7
41 39.4 10/14/12 LA Rams 33.3 29.0 +0.4 14 17 Miami 29.5 26.7 0.0
42 39.4 10/04/09 Baltimore 43.0 33.7 +16.7 21 27 New England 34.8 31.5 +3.3
43 39.6 09/26/10 Atlanta 33.0 32.3 +14.0 27 24 New Orleans 33.7 28.9 +4.0
44 39.9 10/17/10 Kansas City 28.7 27.4 +5.0 31 35 Houston 25.3 22.9 -3.6
45 40.1 11/10/03 Philadelphia 32.0 26.3 -1.3 17 14 Green Bay 26.2 26.9 +4.6
46 40.1 10/25/09 San Francisco 32.6 29.0 +2.8 21 24 Houston 26.7 25.8 +1.0
47 40.4 10/12/14 Chicago 21.0 22.6 -3.0 27 13 Atlanta 16.9 20.1 +1.6
48 40.4 09/21/03 New Orleans 26.3 26.5 +2.0 12 27 Tennessee 30.5 25.9 -10.5
49 40.5 09/16/07 Houston 30.9 29.1 +17.0 34 21 Carolina 27.7 26.2 +14.0
50 40.8 09/21/08 Carolina 35.7 30.5 +2.5 10 20 Minnesota 21.7 27.4 -4.0
51 40.9 09/08/19 Tennessee 28.8 26.8 -1.4 43 13 Cleveland 25.2 25.6 +3.4
52 41.1 09/29/08 Baltimore 26.7 28.7 +12.5 20 23 Pittsburgh 26.7 28.9 +5.3
53 41.1 10/13/19 Pittsburgh 21.0 27.0 -3.0 24 17 LA Chargers 18.7 23.3 +1.8
54 41.1 10/06/13 Detroit 26.0 26.3 +5.3 9 22 Green Bay 16.7 24.0 +2.7
55 41.1 10/10/04 Detroit 43.8 33.5 -0.3 17 10 Atlanta 38.9 30.6 +9.8
56 41.2 09/28/15 Kansas City 29.9 28.1 0.0 28 38 Green Bay 35.8 31.4 +9.0
57 41.4 10/08/15 Indianapolis 19.1 19.3 -5.3 27 20 Houston 18.7 19.0 -7.8
58 41.5 10/26/20 Chicago 36.4 29.2 +2.0 10 24 LA Rams 23.7 25.6 +6.3
59 41.5 09/11/22 Las Vegas 26.3 24.6 -5.1 19 24 LA Chargers 23.6 25.6 +2.9
60 41.6 09/11/06 Minnesota 32.2 29.4 +5.1 19 16 Washington 29.7 28.3 +10.0
61 41.7 09/17/12 Denver 27.4 25.2 +12.0 21 27 Atlanta 28.7 27.6 +16.0
62 42.0 11/08/20 Denver 25.1 23.0 -5.1 27 34 Atlanta 20.3 24.3 -1.9
63 42.1 09/20/15 San Francisco 28.2 27.7 +17.0 18 43 Pittsburgh 29.9 29.2 -7.0
64 42.1 10/17/10 Baltimore 43.4 34.4 +4.0 20 23 New England 34.9 31.3 +8.8
65 42.2 10/01/12 Chicago 26.4 27.2 +8.0 34 18 Dallas 27.2 25.3 -2.3
66 42.2 10/04/15 Cleveland 18.0 20.9 -4.7 27 30 LA Chargers 17.7 19.2 -5.7
67 42.3 10/07/12 Denver 31.9 32.3 +7.8 21 31 New England 32.2 33.0 +10.5
68 42.3 10/19/14 Miami 20.8 25.1 -0.8 27 14 Chicago 24.7 24.9 -0.2
69 42.4 10/03/21 Pittsburgh 24.7 23.1 -5.3 17 27 Green Bay 31.6 27.2 -5.0
70 42.4 09/13/15 Baltimore 30.6 30.0 +4.1 13 19 Denver 31.1 28.8 +6.9
71 42.6 09/18/05 Cleveland 16.3 19.5 -14.0 26 24 Green Bay 14.9 18.7 -14.0
72 42.8 10/21/18 Carolina 21.9 22.8 +1.4 21 17 Philadelphia 20.4 24.3 +3.3
73 42.8 09/27/20 Green Bay 33.6 28.9 +15.0 37 30 New Orleans 25.5 26.2 +0.5
74 42.9 09/14/03 Pittsburgh 35.0 30.8 +19.0 20 41 Kansas City 27.6 28.2 +13.0
75 42.9 09/19/10 Pittsburgh 33.2 28.9 +6.0 19 11 Tennessee 30.9 28.0 +25.0