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Citadel at Samford
Sat Mar 2, 2024
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
Citadel at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Samford by 13.5, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CIT | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-1 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-1 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-1 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-10-0 | 10-7-0 |
Citadel Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | NC State | +21.0 | L by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Boston Col | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Presbyterian | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | North Greenville | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Idaho St | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | NC Central | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Campbell | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Charl South | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | NC A&T | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Pfeiffer | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/14 | Away | Col Charlestn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Notre Dame | +8.5 | W by 20 | +28.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Toccoa Falls | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 01/03 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Furman | +11.0 | L by 14 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Wofford | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.0 | L by 6 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | VMI | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Mercer | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Chattanooga | +10.0 | L by 28 | -18.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Furman | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | W Carolina | +11.0 | L by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | VMI | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Mercer | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Chattanooga | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | E Tenn St | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Samford | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Mercer | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| SAM -13.5 | Open | -15.0 | High | -15.0 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1660 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Samford won the game 1514 times (91.2%).
- The team like The Citadel won the game 146 times (8.8%).
- The team like The Citadel did better against the spread, going 859-779-22 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2085 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like The Citadel did better against the spread, going 1043-1004-38 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -15.0 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 02:50 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:53 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:41 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:23 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:03 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 03/01 09:25 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:30 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 03/01 07:17 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
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