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Maryland at Michigan St
Tue Feb 7, 2023
9:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Maryland at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan State by 4, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MD | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-17-1 | 24-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 16-5-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-1 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 13-7-1 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Manhattan | -26.0 | W by 30 | +4.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -24.0 | W by 34 | +10.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida A&M | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Marquette | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Canisius | -31.0 | W by 71 | +40.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Villanova | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Bucknell | -24.5 | W by 24 | -0.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Alcorn St | -34.5 | W by 38 | +3.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Ohio St | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Purdue | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | St Francis PA | -33.5 | W by 54 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Maryland ES | -42.5 | W by 15 | -27.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Washington | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | UCLA | -5.0 | W by 18 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Minnesota | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Northwestern | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Nebraska | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 21 | +27.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ohio St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Nebraska | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | Iowa | -11.0 | W by 26 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | USC | -11.5 | W by 17 | +5.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Michigan St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Michigan | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Northwestern | -11.0 | W by 13 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Grand Canyon | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Colorado St | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | Florida | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Monmouth | -20.0 | W by 24 | +4.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Niagara | -30.0 | W by 36 | +6.0 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | Kansas | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Bowling Green | -24.5 | W by 14 | -10.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Samford | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Colorado | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | North Carolina | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 37 | +30.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Oakland | -16.5 | W by 19 | +2.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida Atlantic | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | W Michigan | -27.5 | W by 18 | -9.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Washington | -14.0 | W by 34 | +20.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Northwestern | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Penn St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Illinois | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Rutgers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Minnesota | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | USC | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | UCLA | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Indiana | -11.5 | L by 4 | -15.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Purdue | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Maryland | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wisconsin | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Michigan | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Oregon | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Bryant | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | New Mexico | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Mississippi | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| MSU -4.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3531 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan St. won the game 2254 times (63.8%).
- The team like Maryland won the game 1277 times (36.2%).
- The team like Michigan St. did better against the spread, going 1742-1707-82 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1120 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 549-545-26 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/07 08:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 08:43 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/07 08:13 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/07 07:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 06:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 06:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/07 06:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/07 06:13 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 05:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 05:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/07 05:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 05:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/07 04:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/07 03:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/07 02:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 02:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 01:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 01:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 12:40 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 12:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 12:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/07 09:49 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 08:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/07 08:37 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 12:52 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 11:33 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/06 10:43 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/06 10:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 08:13 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/06 03:34 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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