NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIL
Points 114.2 111.9
Total Points   226.1
Points From 2-Pointers 63.8 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 36.3
Points From Free Throws 15.4 18.5
Shooting DEN MIL
Field Goals Made 43.6 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 86.8
Field Goal % 48.4% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.7 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 23.7
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.0%
Ball Control DEN MIL
Rebounds 49.4 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.1
Steals 5.7 5.6
Fouls 16.6 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIL
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 100.4
% of Possessions with DEN MIL
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.6%
Turnover 9.8% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 21.6%