ATS Situational Trends

Record DEN adv MIL
Season 43-49-2 38-49-1
vs Division 9-14-0 8-15-0
vs Conference 27-36-1 28-29-1
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 23-24-1 21-22-1
Away 20-25-1 17-27-0

Denver Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/24 Home LA Lakers -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
10/27 Away Memphis -6.0 W by 4 -2.0
10/29 Away Okla City -3.5 W by 33 +29.5
10/30 Home Utah -9.0 W by 8 -1.0
11/01 Away Minnesota -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/03 Home Dallas -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
11/04 Home Chicago -9.0 W by 22 +13.0
11/06 Home New Orleans -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/08 Home Golden State -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/12 Away Houston -5.0 L by 3 -8.0
11/14 Home LA Clippers -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/17 Away New Orleans -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
11/19 Away Cleveland -4.5 L by 12 -16.5
11/20 Away Detroit -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
11/22 Away Orlando -3.0 L by 5 -8.0
11/24 Away Houston -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
11/26 Home San Antonio -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
11/27 Away LA Clippers +11.0 W by 9 +20.0
11/29 Home Houston -10.0 W by 10 0.0
12/01 Away Phoenix -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
12/02 Away Sacramento +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
12/06 Away LA Clippers +1.0 L by 9 -8.0
12/08 Home Houston -9.0 L by 8 -17.0
12/11 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
12/12 Away Chicago -6.5 W by 8 +1.5
12/14 Home Brooklyn -9.0 W by 23 +14.0
12/16 Home Okla City -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
12/18 Home Dallas -8.0 W by 26 +18.0
12/20 Away Toronto -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
12/22 Away Brooklyn -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
12/23 Away Charlotte -11.0 W by 7 -4.0
12/25 Home Golden State -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
12/28 Home Memphis -9.0 W by 37 +28.0
12/29 Home Okla City -2.0 L by 26 -28.0
01/01 Home Charlotte -17.0 W by 18 +1.0
01/04 Away Golden State -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
01/05 Home Orlando -10.0 L by 2 -12.0
01/07 Home Detroit -16.0 W by 17 +1.0
01/10 Away Utah -7.0 L by 13 -20.0
01/12 Home New Orleans -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
01/14 Home Indiana -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
01/16 Away Philadelphia +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
01/19 Away Boston +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
01/21 Away Washington -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
01/23 Away Indiana -5.0 W by 5 0.0
01/25 Away New York -2.5 L by 38 -40.5
01/27 Home Philadelphia -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
01/29 Home Milwaukee -4.0 W by 6 +2.0
01/31 Away Okla City +6.0 L by 5 +1.0
02/02 Home Portland -14.5 W by 12 -2.5
02/04 Home Portland -15.0 W by 9 -6.0
02/08 Away LA Lakers -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
02/09 Away Sacramento +3.0 L by 29 -26.0
02/12 Away Milwaukee +1.0 L by 17 -16.0
02/14 Home Sacramento -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
02/22 Home Washington -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
02/23 Away Portland -8.0 W by 15 +7.0
02/25 Away Golden State +2.0 W by 16 +18.0
02/28 Home Sacramento -9.0 W by 21 +12.0
02/29 Home Miami -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
03/02 Away LA Lakers -1.0 W by 10 +9.0
03/05 Home Phoenix -8.5 L by 10 -18.5
03/07 Home Boston +2.0 W by 6 +8.0
03/09 Home Utah -12.5 W by 21 +8.5
03/11 Home Toronto -17.0 W by 6 -11.0
03/13 Away Miami -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
03/15 Away San Antonio -10.5 W by 11 +0.5
03/17 Away Dallas -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
03/19 Away Minnesota -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
03/21 Home New York -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
03/23 Away Portland -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
03/25 Home Memphis -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
03/27 Home Phoenix -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
03/29 Home Minnesota -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
03/31 Home Cleveland -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
04/02 Home San Antonio -15.5 W by 5 -10.5
04/04 Away LA Clippers -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
04/06 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 32 +21.5
04/09 Away Utah -15.5 W by 16 +0.5
04/10 Home Minnesota -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
04/12 Away San Antonio -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
04/14 Away Memphis -13.5 W by 15 +1.5
04/20 Home LA Lakers -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
04/22 Home LA Lakers -7.0 W by 2 -5.0
04/25 Away LA Lakers +1.0 W by 7 +8.0
04/27 Away LA Lakers -3.5 L by 11 -14.5
04/29 Home LA Lakers -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
05/04 Home Minnesota -4.5 L by 7 -11.5
05/06 Home Minnesota -7.0 L by 26 -33.0
05/10 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 27 +30.5
05/12 Away Minnesota +4.0 W by 8 +12.0
05/14 Home Minnesota -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
05/16 Away Minnesota +2.0 L by 45 -43.0
05/19 Home Minnesota -4.5 L by 8 -12.5

Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/26 Home Philadelphia -6.0 W by 1 -5.0
10/29 Home Atlanta -6.0 L by 17 -23.0
10/30 Home Miami -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
11/01 Away Toronto -4.0 L by 19 -23.0
11/03 Home New York -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/06 Away Brooklyn -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
11/08 Home Detroit -12.0 W by 2 -10.0
11/09 Away Indiana -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
11/11 Away Orlando -2.0 L by 15 -17.0
11/13 Home Chicago -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/15 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
11/17 Away Charlotte -8.0 W by 31 +23.0
11/18 Home Dallas -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
11/20 Away Washington -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
11/22 Away Boston +6.0 L by 3 +3.0
11/24 Home Washington -13.5 W by 3 -10.5
11/26 Home Portland -13.0 W by 6 -7.0
11/28 Away Miami -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
11/30 Away Chicago -10.5 L by 7 -17.5
12/02 Home Atlanta -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
12/05 Home New York -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
12/07 Neutral Indiana -5.0 L by 9 -14.0
12/11 Home Chicago -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
12/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
12/16 Home Detroit -16.5 W by 32 +15.5
12/17 Home Houston -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
12/19 Home San Antonio -16.5 W by 13 -3.5
12/21 Home Orlando -8.5 W by 4 -4.5
12/23 Away New York -2.0 W by 19 +17.0
12/25 Away New York -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
12/27 Away Brooklyn -10.0 W by 22 +12.0
12/29 Away Cleveland -5.0 W by 8 +3.0
01/01 Home Indiana -8.0 L by 9 -17.0
01/03 Away Indiana -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
01/04 Away San Antonio -11.0 W by 4 -7.0
01/06 Away Houston -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/08 Home Utah -8.0 L by 16 -24.0
01/11 Home Boston -2.0 W by 33 +31.0
01/13 Home Golden State -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
01/14 Home Sacramento -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
01/17 Away Cleveland +2.0 L by 40 -38.0
01/20 Away Detroit -13.5 W by 6 -7.5
01/22 Away Detroit -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
01/24 Home Cleveland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
01/26 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 12 -17.5
01/27 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 24 +20.5
01/29 Away Denver +4.0 L by 6 -2.0
01/31 Away Portland -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
02/03 Away Dallas -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
02/04 Away Utah +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
02/06 Away Phoenix +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/08 Home Minnesota +2.0 L by 24 -22.0
02/09 Home Charlotte -16.0 W by 36 +20.0
02/12 Home Denver -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/13 Home Miami -7.0 L by 26 -33.0
02/15 Away Memphis -14.0 L by 3 -17.0
02/23 Away Minnesota +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/25 Away Philadelphia -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
02/27 Home Charlotte -14.0 W by 38 +24.0
02/29 Away Charlotte -11.5 W by 12 +0.5
03/01 Away Chicago -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
03/04 Home LA Clippers +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
03/06 Away Golden State +2.5 L by 35 -32.5
03/08 Away LA Lakers -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
03/10 Away LA Clippers -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/12 Away Sacramento +1.5 L by 35 -33.5
03/14 Home Philadelphia -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
03/17 Home Phoenix +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
03/20 Away Boston +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
03/21 Home Brooklyn -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
03/24 Home Okla City -2.5 W by 25 +22.5
03/26 Home LA Lakers -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
03/28 Away New Orleans -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
03/30 Away Atlanta -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
04/02 Away Washington -13.0 L by 4 -17.0
04/03 Home Memphis -12.5 L by 10 -22.5
04/05 Home Toronto -14.5 L by 6 -20.5
04/07 Home New York -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
04/09 Home Boston -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
04/10 Home Orlando +1.5 W by 18 +19.5
04/12 Away Okla City +14.0 L by 18 -4.0
04/14 Away Orlando +6.0 L by 25 -19.0
04/21 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
04/23 Home Indiana -1.0 L by 17 -18.0
04/26 Away Indiana +6.5 L by 3 +3.5
04/28 Away Indiana +10.0 L by 13 -3.0
04/30 Home Indiana +5.0 W by 23 +28.0
05/02 Away Indiana +6.0 L by 22 -16.0
MIL -1.0 Open +1.5 High -1.5
Last -1.5 Low +1.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 576 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:

  • The team like Milwaukee won the game 308 times (53.5%).
  • The team like Denver won the game 268 times (46.5%).
  • The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 291-277-8 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 208 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 107-100-1 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -1.0 -1.5 --
Open -1.0 +0.5 --
History
02/12 09:08 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 08:07 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 08:01 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 07:37 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 07:34 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 07:31 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 07:28 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 06:56 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 06:52 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 06:35 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 06:26 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 06:22 PM -1.0 -- --
02/12 06:22 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 06:19 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 06:16 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:52 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:43 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:42 PM -- -1.5 --
02/12 05:37 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:34 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:22 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 05:19 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 04:10 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 04:01 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 02:58 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 02:38 PM -- +1.5 --
02/12 02:25 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 02:16 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 12:58 PM -- +1.5 --
02/12 12:55 PM +1.0 -- --
02/12 11:59 AM +1.0 -- --
02/12 10:50 AM -- +1.5 --
02/12 10:43 AM +1.0 -- --
02/12 10:40 AM +1.5 -- --
02/12 09:46 AM +1.5 -- --
02/12 09:40 AM +1.5 -- --
02/12 09:31 AM +1.5 -- --
02/12 09:30 AM -- +1.5 --
02/12 09:22 AM +1.5 -- --
02/12 09:22 AM -- +1.5 --
02/12 09:02 AM -- +1.5 --
02/12 08:52 AM +1.0 -- --
02/12 08:46 AM -1.0 -- --
02/12 08:44 AM -- -1.5 --
02/12 08:43 AM -1.0 -- --
02/11 11:18 PM -- +1.5 --
02/11 11:12 PM -- +1.5 --
02/11 05:06 PM -- +1.5 --
02/11 04:56 PM -- +0.5 --