NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIN
Points 106.3 108.1
Total Points   214.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.2 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.7 32.9
Points From Free Throws 16.3 18.6
Shooting DEN MIN
Field Goals Made 39.7 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.4 83.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 16.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.2
Free Throw % 77.9% 76.8%
Ball Control DEN MIN
Rebounds 47.4 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.2
Turnovers 11.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.3
Steals 6.3 6.5
Fouls 17.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIN
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.4 97.7
% of Possessions with DEN MIN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.1%
Turnover 12.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.7%