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Denver at Minnesota
Sun May 12, 2024
8:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Denver at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 4, Total Points: 205
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-49-2 | 49-47-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-14-0 | 14-7-2 | |
| vs Conference | 27-36-1 | 34-32-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 23-24-1 | 21-26-2 | |
| Away | 20-25-1 | 28-21-0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 04/25 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 04/27 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.5 | L by 11 | -14.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 05/04 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 05/06 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 05/10 | Away | Minnesota | +3.5 | W by 27 | +30.5 |
| 05/12 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 05/14 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 05/16 | Away | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 45 | -43.0 |
| 05/19 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 05/04 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 05/06 | Away | Denver | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | L by 27 | -30.5 |
| 05/12 | Home | Denver | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 05/14 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 05/16 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | W by 45 | +43.0 |
| 05/19 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 05/22 | Home | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 05/24 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 05/26 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 05/28 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 05/30 | Home | Dallas | -5.0 | L by 21 | -26.0 |
| MIN -4.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1165 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 718 times (61.6%).
- The team like Denver won the game 447 times (38.4%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 585-556-24 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 574 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 295-266-13 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 05/12 08:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 08:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:49 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:16 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:11 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 07:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:00 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 06:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:48 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 06:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:42 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 06:40 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:25 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 05:25 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/12 05:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:10 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 05:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 04:55 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 04:43 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 02:18 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 05/12 01:22 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 05/12 01:19 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 11:46 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 09:25 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 09:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 08:21 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 08:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 07:35 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 06:31 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 04:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 08:01 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 07:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 02:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 09:26 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 05/11 09:10 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/11 08:22 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 05/11 08:13 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 08:13 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 05/11 08:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 07:58 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/11 12:06 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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