BetIQ Daily: Alabama vs. Georgia CFB National Championship Game Picks
Picks for Monday are all about the Alabama vs. Georgia CFP title game, plus some early NFL playoff spreads and totals.
January 10, 2022 - by Jason Lisk
Alabama and Georgia face off again (Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire)
BetIQ Daily is ready for the rematch, as Georgia and Alabama face off in the College Football Playoff title game tonight.
We have picks on both the spread and total for the game, along with an early look at the NFL Wild Card Round.
1) Alabama/Georgia Under 52.5 Points
- CFB Over/Under Pick
- Monday, 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Playable Over/Under pick according to our Ensemble Forecast model.
- First meeting went over the 48.5-point number with 41-24 Alabama win.
- Only game all year that Georgia’s defense gave up more than 17 points.
2) Georgia -2.5
- CFB Spread Pick
- Monday, 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
- This one is not rated as playable by our models, but is a Georgia lean (51.5%) to cover
- Important to shop for your best line with the spread near this key number, as some books have it at -3 and some are charging more juice on the favorite.
- Our predictive power ratings show some value on Georgia, despite the earlier head-to-head result.
- In the only two title game rematches of CFP/BCS eras, the team that lost first matchup won and covered rematch.
NFL Wild Card Round Schedule and Spreads/Totals
After a wild Sunday that saw the Steelers sneak into the playoffs after the Jaguars upset the Colts and the 49ers stage a wild comeback to clinch their playoff spot, the NFL’s Wild Card Round is set.
Here are the games and early spreads/totals:
- Cincinnati (-6.5) vs. Las Vegas, O/U 49.0
- Buffalo (-4.5) vs. New England, O/U 43.5
- Tampa Bay (-9.5) vs. Philadelphia, O/U 49.0
- Dallas (-3) vs. San Francisco, O/U 49.5
- Kansas City (-13) vs. Pittsburgh, O/U 46.5
- Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) vs. Arizona, O/U 50.5
Four of the over/unders are currently rated as playable. Betting subscribers can see our early leans on all spreads, totals, and moneyline picks for the Wild Card Round.
We will have plenty of other BetIQ Daily content on the playoffs throughout the week. If you’re in a playoff pick’em pool or survivor pool, we will also have our strategy and picks analysis this week as well.
Top Pick Performance Trends
Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.
As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season, for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:
- NFL point spread picks: 48-36-2 (57%, +7.6 units)
- College football over/under picks: 179-146-3 (55%, +16.7 units)
- NBA spread picks: 14-10 (58%, +2.7 units)
- NBA moneyline picks: 76-67 (+7.3 units)