BetIQ Daily: 1 College Football Over/Under Pick, 1 College Basketball Total, and Bucks vs. Nuggets
Picks for Friday and Saturday include plays on UCLA-Cal in college football and Loyola-Chicago in NCAAB, plus an NBA point spread pick.
November 26, 2021 - by Jason Lisk
Cal shut down Stanford a week ago (Bob Kupbens/Icon Sportswire)
Friday, November 26 (#6)
Welcome to BetIQ Daily, where we highlight a few sports betting picks from our premium data-driven models and analysis. Today we’ve got three picks covering Friday and Saturday.
This is just a small sample of picks available over the next few days, which include college basketball, NBA, college football rivalry week, and NFL Week 12.
3 Picks For Friday/Saturday
1) California vs. UCLA Under 58.0 — NCAAF Over/Under Pick
- Saturday, 10:30 p.m. ET.
- The highest-rated college football play for this weekend, according to our Decision Tree Model.
- California is holding teams to 359.1 yards per game.
- California has allowed only 49 points in its last four games in Pac-12 play.
2) Arizona State vs. Loyola Chicago Under 136.5 — NCAAB Over/Under Pick
- Friday, 7:00 p.m. ET.
- One of two college basketball over/under plays rated as 58% or higher to cover by our models on Friday.
- Loyola-Chicago scored 91 points a game in the earlier games against weaker competition.
- However, the Ramblers have only averaged 61.5 points in two games in Bahamas (Michigan State and Auburn) against power conferences.
3) Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 (at Denver Nuggets) — NBA Spread Pick
- Friday, 9:00 p.m. ET.
- A playable NBA spread pick for tonight, where Ensemble Forecast model is 11-6 ATS so far this season.
- Milwaukee has won five straight while Denver has lost five in a row.
- Denver C Nikola Jokic has missed the last three games and is questionable for tonight with a wrist injury.
Top Pick Performance Trends
Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.
As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season, for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:
- NFL point spread picks: 36-25-1 (59%, +7.8 units)
- College football over/under picks: 154-124-3 (55%, +16 units)
- College basketball over/under picks: 192-167-3 (53%, +7.5 units)
- NBA spread picks: 11-6 (65%, +4 units)
To view our model predictions and picks for all sports and all games, see our subscription page.
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