BetIQ Daily: Rams vs. Cardinals, Matthew Stafford Prop, and College Basketball Spread Pick
Monday picks for BetIQ include Rams versus Cardinals, a Matthew Stafford prop, and a Philadelphia college basketball matchup.
January 17, 2022 - by Jason Lisk
Matthew Stafford demonstrates how many points the Rams will score tonight (Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)
Bet Daily is still working on this Martin Luther King Jr. holiday, as we have one more NFL playoff game tonight, along with a college basketball schedule that includes games throughout the day.
1) LA Rams/Arizona Over 50.0 Points
- NFL Over/Under Pick
- Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN
- This over is a playable pick according to our Ensemble Forecast model.
- Rams safety Taylor Rapp (concussion) was ruled out, and the team is thin at the position.
- L.A. is second in net yards per pass attempt this season and should throw a bunch in this game.
- These teams combined for over 800 total yards and over 50 points in both regular-season contests.
2) Matthew Stafford Over 272.5 Passing Yards
- NFL Player Prop Pick
- Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN
- Our passing projection model using spread, total, and team pass rates has Stafford at 289.5 yards, which provides 17 yards of value.
- With Rams’ potential issues at safety, this game will fall on Stafford and the passing offense.
- Stafford can hit this total in a neutral game where the score is close and if trailing in the second half.
- Stafford threw for more yards than this in five of seven games against this year’s playoff teams, including both against Arizona.
3) La Salle +7.5 vs. St. Joseph’s
- NCAAB Spread Pick
- Monday, 4:00 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network
- One of five playable college spread picks today according to our Ensemble Forecast Model.
- After tough three-game stretch that included leading scorer Josh Brickus missing a game with injury, La Salle played well in OT loss to St. Bonaventure last time out.
Top Pick Performance Trends
Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.
As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season, for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:
- NFL point spread picks: 48-36-2 (57%, +7.6 units)
- College football over/under picks: 180-146-3 (55%, +17.7 units)
- NBA spread picks: 14-10 (58%, +2.7 units)
- NBA moneyline picks: 80-69 (+9.7 units)