NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR UNT
Points 63.5 65.5
Total Points   129.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 20.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 12.3
Shooting CHAR UNT
Field Goals Made 21.1 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 48.0 55.4
Field Goal % 44.0% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.5 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.4
Free Throw % 75.2% 75.1%
Ball Control CHAR UNT
Rebounds 30.9 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.9
Turnovers 9.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.7
Steals 4.7 6.0
Fouls 12.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR UNT
Total Possessions 62.9
Effective Scoring Chances 60.5 65.5
% of Possessions with CHAR UNT
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 24.3% 20.3%
Turnover 15.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR UNT
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 31.8%