NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR APP
Points 64.3 70.9
Total Points   135.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 43.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 16.6
Points From Free Throws 11.7 11.2
Shooting CHAR APP
Field Goals Made 23.4 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 59.8
Field Goal % 39.2% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 16.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 69.5%
Ball Control CHAR APP
Rebounds 33.6 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.3
Turnovers 8.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.9
Steals 5.2 4.8
Fouls 13.0 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR APP
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 69.8
% of Possessions with CHAR APP
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.1%
Turnover 11.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR APP
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 28.9%