NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR MILW
Points 75.8 71.0
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 17.8 14.7
Shooting CHAR MILW
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 60.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 20.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 73.5%
Ball Control CHAR MILW
Rebounds 33.8 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.9
Turnovers 8.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.4
Steals 4.9 4.4
Fouls 14.5 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR MILW
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 72.3
% of Possessions with CHAR MILW
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 25.4%
Player Fouled 24.4% 21.1%
Turnover 11.9% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR MILW
Shot Blocked 5.8% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 34.3%