NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU SDSU
Points 70.0 71.8
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 18.6
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.3
Shooting USU SDSU
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 59.0
Field Goal % 42.9% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.8
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.7%
Ball Control USU SDSU
Rebounds 34.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.6
Turnovers 10.5 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 16.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU SDSU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.7
% of Possessions with USU SDSU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 24.3% 22.8%
Turnover 14.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU SDSU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.9%