NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU SHSU
Points 66.2 74.0
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 23.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 18.7
Shooting NMSU SHSU
Field Goals Made 23.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 56.7
Field Goal % 42.5% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.3 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 25.9
Free Throw % 65.5% 72.3%
Ball Control NMSU SHSU
Rebounds 33.7 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.8
Turnovers 10.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.6
Steals 4.6 6.1
Fouls 18.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU SHSU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 72.6
% of Possessions with NMSU SHSU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 27.6%
Player Fouled 22.2% 26.7%
Turnover 15.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU SHSU
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 31.9%