NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCAT BRAD
Points 55.5 81.8
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 28.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.5
Shooting NCAT BRAD
Field Goals Made 17.8 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 58.8
Field Goal % 32.0% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 34.8% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 15.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 74.3%
Ball Control NCAT BRAD
Rebounds 29.5 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.3
Turnovers 9.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.7
Steals 5.1 5.5
Fouls 12.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: NC A&T

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCAT BRAD
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.9
% of Possessions with NCAT BRAD
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 31.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 17.7%
Turnover 13.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCAT BRAD
Shot Blocked 8.1% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 33.6%