NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU BSU
Points 72.6 72.7
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.9
Shooting USU BSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 59.1
Field Goal % 48.5% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.0
Free Throw % 72.5% 74.3%
Ball Control USU BSU
Rebounds 32.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.3
Turnovers 9.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.7
Steals 5.0 5.2
Fouls 15.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU BSU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 71.0
% of Possessions with USU BSU
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 27.6%
Player Fouled 24.3% 21.5%
Turnover 14.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU BSU
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 28.5%