NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM MSST
Points 74.8 76.4
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 25.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 12.9
Shooting TAM MSST
Field Goals Made 25.6 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 57.0
Field Goal % 40.5% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 16.6 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 19.7
Free Throw % 71.3% 65.5%
Ball Control TAM MSST
Rebounds 38.6 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 15.6 10.2
Turnovers 8.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 6.5 4.8
Fouls 15.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM MSST
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 77.8 69.3
% of Possessions with TAM MSST
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 32.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.0%
Turnover 11.7% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM MSST
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 30.8%