NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU WYO
Points 81.0 69.4
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.3
Shooting USU WYO
Field Goals Made 29.5 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 56.7
Field Goal % 51.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.3
Free Throw % 72.5% 75.2%
Ball Control USU WYO
Rebounds 35.7 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.1
Turnovers 8.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.8 1.4
Steals 6.9 4.5
Fouls 16.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU WYO
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 68.3
% of Possessions with USU WYO
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.7%
Turnover 12.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU WYO
Shot Blocked 2.6% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 22.8%