NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM ALA
Points 83.2 90.7
Total Points   173.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 40.9
Points From Free Throws 22.3 16.3
Shooting TAM ALA
Field Goals Made 27.0 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 67.5 62.7
Field Goal % 40.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 64.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 22.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 31.3 21.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 76.4%
Ball Control TAM ALA
Rebounds 41.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 17.7 10.9
Turnovers 7.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.5
Steals 6.9 3.9
Fouls 17.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM ALA
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 85.8 75.6
% of Possessions with TAM ALA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 29.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 41.7%
Player Fouled 24.6% 23.1%
Turnover 9.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM ALA
Shot Blocked 9.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 39.3% 31.1%