NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU SF
Points 71.6 71.0
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 21.3
Points From Free Throws 19.0 10.2
Shooting USU SF
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 60.3
Field Goal % 46.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 19.0 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 13.8
Free Throw % 72.5% 74.2%
Ball Control USU SF
Rebounds 33.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.5
Steals 5.3 6.9
Fouls 13.3 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU SF
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 69.0
% of Possessions with USU SF
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 26.9% 18.8%
Turnover 15.6% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU SF
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 24.4%