NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD UCRV
Points 73.7 66.3
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 21.3
Points From Free Throws 15.7 13.9
Shooting UCD UCRV
Field Goals Made 25.8 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 58.1
Field Goal % 49.0% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 15.7 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 71.1%
Ball Control UCD UCRV
Rebounds 34.3 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 11.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.2
Steals 5.2 5.7
Fouls 16.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD UCRV
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 70.3
% of Possessions with UCD UCRV
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 27.9%
Player Fouled 24.0% 23.3%
Turnover 15.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD UCRV
Shot Blocked 2.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 28.8%