NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU SDST
Points 78.8 69.2
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 11.9
Shooting USU SDST
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.9
Field Goal % 48.9% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 16.3
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.3%
Ball Control USU SDST
Rebounds 36.2 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.7
Turnovers 9.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.7
Steals 6.8 4.9
Fouls 15.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU SDST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.1
% of Possessions with USU SDST
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.3%
Turnover 12.9% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU SDST
Shot Blocked 3.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.0%