NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU SFA
Points 65.9 72.8
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 15.3 22.1
Shooting NMSU SFA
Field Goals Made 22.0 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 52.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 15.3 22.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 31.4
Free Throw % 65.5% 70.3%
Ball Control NMSU SFA
Rebounds 33.3 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.6
Turnovers 13.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.2
Steals 5.8 7.8
Fouls 21.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU SFA
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.8
% of Possessions with NMSU SFA
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 24.2%
Player Fouled 23.9% 29.8%
Turnover 19.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU SFA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 32.5%