NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU SEA
Points 62.9 74.6
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 18.7
Shooting NMSU SEA
Field Goals Made 22.7 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.8
Field Goal % 39.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 25.0
Free Throw % 65.5% 74.7%
Ball Control NMSU SEA
Rebounds 34.1 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.4
Turnovers 10.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.1
Steals 4.8 5.3
Fouls 18.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU SEA
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 71.2
% of Possessions with NMSU SEA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 31.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 26.1%
Turnover 14.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU SEA
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 29.1%